How did US intelligence officials come to brief President Barack Obama, President-elect Donald Trump and lawmakers about supposed Russian plans to try to blackmail Trump? There are far more questions than answers. But here is a look at the story so far.
WHAT WE KNOW
- Last year, a Washington political research firm, paid by Trump's Republican rivals, hired a retired British intelligence officer to investigate the candidate's ties to Russia.
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- After it became clear that Trump would be the Republican nominee, Democratic clients began to pay the firm for this same "opposition research," standard practice in politics.
- The former British spy, who had long experience in Russia and a network of connections there, compiled dozens of reports detailing what he heard from his contacts. The memos he wrote, mostly one to three pages long, are dated from June to December.
- The memos contain unsubstantiated claims that Russian officials tried to obtain influence over Trump by preparing to blackmail him with sex tapes and bribe him with business deals. They also claim that the Trump campaign met with Russian operatives to discuss the Russians' hacking and their leaking of emails and documents from the Democratic National Committee and from Hillary Clinton's campaign chairman, John D. Podesta.
- The Washington firm and the former British spy, not identified here because of a confidential source agreement with The New York Times, gave the memos first to their clients but later to the FBI and multiple journalists at The Times and elsewhere. The memos, totaling about 35 pages, also reached a number of members of Congress.
- Last week, when the FBI, CIA and National Security Agency gave a classified report on the Russian hacking and leaking and efforts to influence the presidential election to Obama, Trump and congressional leaders, they attached a two-page summary of the unverified allegations in the memos.
WHAT WE DON'T KNOW
- Whether any of the claims in the memos are true. US intelligence agencies have not confirmed them, and Trump has said they are a complete fabrication. In addition, one specific allegation - that Trump's lawyer, Michael Cohen, met with a Russian official in Prague in August or September - has been denied by both Cohen, who says he has never been to Prague, and the Russian, Oleg Solodukhin.
![President-elect Donald Trump at the press conference.](/web/20170115031700im_/http://www.theage.com.au/content/dam/images/g/t/p/t/l/c/image.related.articleLeadwide.620x349.gtpxmh.png/1484179559225.jpg)
- Who concocted the information in the memos, if it is entirely false or partially so, and with what purpose. Did the British intelligence officer accurately report what he heard? Who gave him the information that, if false, amounts to a very sophisticated fabrication?
- What exactly prompted US intelligence officials to pass on a summary of the unvetted claims to Obama, Trump and Congress? Officials have said they felt the president-elect should be aware of the memos, which had circulated widely in Washington. But why put the summary in a report going to multiple people in Congress and the executive branch, virtually assuring it would be leaked?
- What will happen now. The FBI has been investigating the claims in the memos, and Democrats are demanding a thorough inquiry into the reports that Trump representatives met with Russian officials during the campaign. But as of January 20, Trump will be in charge of the bureau and the other intelligence agencies, and he may not approve such an investigation.
QUESTIONS YOU MAY BE ASKING
Everyone is talking about this document and passing it around online. Why can't I read it on The New York Times' website?
Because the 35 pages of memos prepared as opposition research on Trump contain detailed claims that neither the intelligence agencies nor news organisations have been able to verify, the editors decided to briefly summarise the claims and not publish the document.
Why did The Times and other outlets report extensively on the hacking of Democratic National Committee and Podesta emails before the election, but not this?
The New York Times did report before the election that the FBI was investigating claims about Trump's ties to Russia - an article that resulted from an extensive reporting effort. The Democratic National Committee and Podesta emails were public, their authenticity was not in doubt and they contained newsworthy information.
Why did James B. Comey, the FBI director, write two letters about Clinton's emails before the election, but not about this?
That is a question Comey may eventually have to answer. His two public statements about the bureau's investigation of the Clinton emails were highly unusual and a break with long FBI tradition.
There are reports that many people in the news media knew about this opposition research on Trump and Russia for months, but it was never raised during the campaign. Why not?
Many reporters from multiple news organisations tried to verify the claims in the memos but were unsuccessful. That does not mean that none of the claims are true, but most news organisations choose not to publish damaging allegations against a public figure unless they believe them to be true.
So what changed Tuesday? Why is this now being reported and discussed by every news media organisation?
CNN broke the news that a summary of the memos had been attached to the classified report by the FBI, CIA and National Security Agency on the Russian hacking and leaking during the presidential election and that it was given to Obama, Trump and congressional leaders last week. That level of official attention prompted news media organisations to decide to inform the public about the memos.
The president and president-elect were given a two-page report, but there is a much longer document on BuzzFeed. What's the difference?
BuzzFeed made the controversial decision to publish the opposition research memos in full, despite the fact that their reporters had not confirmed or disproved the claims in them. The two-page document is a summary of the claims in the series of memos.
The New York Times