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Country analysis

Country analysis

Constitutional reform likely to be narrowly rejected

Italy - We have revised our forecast to reflect the increased risk of a “no” vote at the December referendum (55% probability).

Government borrowing on course to overshoot target

United Kingdom - In the forthcoming Autumn Statement the budget deficit target is likely to be raised for this fiscal year, and the next.

Bangladesh signs US$13.6bn investment package with China

Bangladesh - Despite landmark investment deals, the country's capacity to see through mega-projects remains limited.

Risk analysis

Risk analysis

Legal and regulatory risk

Iran - The US Treasury has updated its guidance for firms and banks looking to do business in Iran.

Operational risk ratings review

World - We remain concerned that a government-engineered sharp slowdown in China from 2018 will escalate into a disorderly downward economic spiral.

Credit risk

Iran - We have upgraded Iran's sovereign risk rating, to BB, as the government has made progress in clearing its domestic and foreign payments arrears.

Industry analysis

Industry analysis

Diabetes drive

Denmark - Pharmaceuticals - Novo Nordisk lowers its forecast for 2016, owing to pricing pressure and intense competition in the US.

Ill-fated phase-out

Belgium - Nuclear - An aim to rid Belgium of atomic energy by 2025 is unlikely to be achieved, given its inadequate long-term supply plans.

Land of opportunity and failure

China - Consumer Goods - Most top retailers are now present in China, but some strategies are more successful than others.

Reports, Webinars and Podcasts

EIU Perspectives

Asia-Pacific: Strategic and mobile-focused

What makes digital leaders: A full C-suite perspective

Social Innovation Index 2016

US and UK top our inaugural Social Innovation Index.

Mental health and integration

The state of mental health in Asia Pacific

American Dream Twitter Chat

Join the Twitter Conversation on the American Dream

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Global outlook November 2016

October 21st 2016
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