24 June 2016
7 News - National Poll - 23 June 2016
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ReachTEL conducted a survey of 2,349 residents across Australia during the evening of 23rd June 2016.
Question 1:
If a Federal election were to be held today, which of the following would receive your first preference vote?
|
|
5th May |
19th May |
26th May |
2nd June |
9th June |
16th June |
23rd June |
23rd June * |
|
2013 Election |
|
Liberal |
37.8% |
36.0% |
35.2% |
35.3% |
35.6% |
36.8% |
36.4% |
37.9% |
|
41.3% |
|
The Nationals |
2.4% |
2.6% |
2.8% |
2.9% |
3.6% |
4.4% |
4.0% |
4.4% |
|
4.3% |
|
Labor |
33.1% |
34.2% |
33.3% |
32.9% |
31.6% |
31.0% |
31.7% |
33.7% |
|
33.4% |
|
The Greens |
8.6% |
9.8% |
8.8% |
9.5% |
8.7% |
8.5% |
9.2% |
10.5% |
|
8.6% |
|
Nick Xenophon Team |
3.8% |
2.2% |
3.5% |
4.3% |
4.1% |
3.5% |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
5.5% |
|
Other |
5.8% |
6.7% |
6.8% |
6.6% |
8.3% |
8.0% |
10.1% |
11.9% |
|
6.9% |
|
Undecided |
8.5% |
8.6% |
9.6% |
8.5% |
8.2% |
7.8% |
7.2% |
|
|
|
* Undecided voters were asked a follow-up question on who they would have even a slight leaning towards.
* Following the finalisation of candidates in each state, Nick Xenophon Team was removed from the read-out in all states except South Australia.
Two party preferred
|
|
5th May |
19th May |
26th May |
2nd June |
9th June |
16th June |
23rd June |
|
Liberal / National |
50% |
50% |
48% |
50% |
50% |
51% |
51% |
|
Labor |
50% |
50% |
52% |
50% |
50% |
49% |
49% |
* Preferences are based on respondent allocated preferences.
Question 2:
Who of the following do you think would make the better Prime Minister?
|
|
2nd June |
9th June |
16th June |
23rd June |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Und |
|
Female |
Male |
|
Malcolm Turnbull |
55.6% |
55.4% |
57.6% |
58.4% |
95.5% |
15.6% |
38.7% |
66.3% |
|
56.9% |
59.9% |
|
Bill Shorten |
44.4% |
44.6% |
42.4% |
41.6% |
4.5% |
84.4% |
61.3% |
33.7% |
|
43.1% |
40.1% |
|
|
28th Aug |
|
Tony Abbott |
42.1% |
|
Bill Shorten |
57.9% |
Question 3:
Please rate the performance of Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister?
|
|
5th May |
19th May |
26th May |
2nd June |
9th June |
16th June |
23rd June |
|
|
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
|
Very good |
9.7% |
7.9% |
11.3% |
9.7% |
11.4% |
10.8% |
11.5% |
33.5% |
|
22.9% |
1.7% |
3.7% |
|
Good |
18.4% |
20.7% |
18.1% |
16.6% |
16.9% |
16.6% |
22.0% |
|
40.4% |
10.3% |
6.9% |
|
|
Satisfactory |
37.5% |
36.2% |
33.8% |
33.0% |
34.2% |
36.2% |
33.2% |
33.2% |
|
29.5% |
32.8% |
36.7% |
|
Poor |
20.4% |
20.1% |
21.2% |
22.9% |
21.4% |
20.3% |
17.2% |
33.3% |
|
4.1% |
27.3% |
32.1% |
|
Very poor |
14.1% |
15.0% |
15.6% |
17.9% |
16.0% |
16.0% |
16.1% |
|
3.1% |
27.8% |
20.6% |
Question 4:
Please rate the performance of Bill Shorten as Leader of the Opposition?
|
|
5th May |
19th May |
26th May |
2nd June |
9th June |
16th June |
23rd June |
|
|
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
|
Very good |
8.9% |
8.7% |
9.9% |
9.3% |
9.3% |
12.0% |
11.4% |
30.7% |
|
3.5% |
27.6% |
7.4% |
|
Good |
15.7% |
19.2% |
19.2% |
19.7% |
18.2% |
17.6% |
19.3% |
|
9.1% |
35.5% |
26.3% |
|
|
Satisfactory |
31.5% |
33.7% |
34.0% |
31.5% |
33.9% |
30.7% |
31.6% |
31.6% |
|
23.9% |
29.7% |
43.8% |
|
Poor |
22.7% |
19.3% |
17.2% |
20.4% |
20.2% |
20.5% |
18.5% |
37.8% |
|
30.0% |
5.0% |
13.4% |
|
Very poor |
21.3% |
19.1% |
19.7% |
19.2% |
18.4% |
19.2% |
19.3% |
|
33.5% |
2.2% |
9.2% |
Question 5:
With one week from election day, regardless of how you said you would vote, what do you think the outcome of the election will be?
|
|
23rd June |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Coalition win |
49.6% |
47.9% |
51.4% |
43.3% |
49.4% |
49.4% |
61.5% |
|
Labor win |
22.3% |
23.5% |
21.1% |
27.2% |
26.1% |
18.5% |
12.3% |
|
Hung parliament |
28.1% |
28.6% |
27.5% |
29.5% |
24.5% |
32.2% |
26.3% |
|
|
23rd June |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Und |
|
Coalition win |
49.6% |
78.7% |
25.0% |
35.0% |
35.9% |
|
Labor win |
22.3% |
3.9% |
50.9% |
16.1% |
28.2% |
|
Hung parliament |
28.1% |
17.4% |
24.1% |
48.8% |
35.9% |
Question 6:
Do you believe that Malcolm Turnbull will keep his promise and not privatise Medicare?
|
|
23rd June |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Yes |
47.6% |
44.0% |
51.4% |
40.1% |
49.4% |
47.3% |
58.1% |
|
No |
36.0% |
39.1% |
32.8% |
39.0% |
37.4% |
36.9% |
27.4% |
|
Unsure |
16.4% |
16.9% |
15.9% |
21.0% |
13.3% |
15.7% |
14.5% |
|
|
23rd June |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Und |
|
Yes |
47.6% |
80.9% |
16.0% |
33.2% |
30.6% |
|
No |
36.0% |
5.3% |
69.8% |
47.0% |
34.7% |
|
Unsure |
16.4% |
13.8% |
14.2% |
19.8% |
34.7% |
Question 7:
When deciding on who you’ll vote for, approximately when do you make up your mind?
|
|
23rd June |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Well before election campaign |
56.1% |
54.9% |
57.3% |
52.4% |
57.4% |
57.5% |
58.5% |
|
During the election campaign |
23.2% |
24.1% |
22.3% |
24.2% |
21.1% |
23.4% |
25.0% |
|
In the week leading up to the election |
12.7% |
13.1% |
12.4% |
10.8% |
15.0% |
12.6% |
12.5% |
|
On election day |
4.5% |
4.4% |
4.6% |
7.2% |
3.2% |
4.2% |
2.3% |
|
Just before you vote |
3.4% |
3.5% |
3.4% |
5.4% |
3.3% |
2.4% |
1.8% |
|
|
23rd June |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Und |
|
Well before election campaign |
56.1% |
66.4% |
58.1% |
41.0% |
17.2% |
|
During the election campaign |
23.2% |
20.5% |
23.7% |
35.5% |
15.4% |
|
In the week leading up to the election |
12.7% |
7.8% |
13.5% |
8.8% |
40.2% |
|
On election day |
4.5% |
3.5% |
3.0% |
8.3% |
13.0% |
|
Just before you vote |
3.4% |
1.8% |
1.7% |
6.5% |
14.2% |
Question 8:
Which of the following two parties do you trust most to manage the issue of border protection?
|
|
19th May |
26th May |
9th June |
23rd June |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Coalition |
55.7% |
55.9% |
57.8% |
60.6% |
54.4% |
67.2% |
51.1% |
62.8% |
63.0% |
70.3% |
|
Labor |
44.3% |
44.1% |
42.2% |
39.4% |
45.6% |
32.8% |
48.9% |
37.2% |
37.0% |
29.7% |
|
|
19th May |
26th May |
9th June |
23rd June |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Und |
|
Coalition |
55.7% |
55.9% |
57.8% |
60.6% |
95.8% |
23.4% |
24.9% |
63.9% |
|
Labor |
44.3% |
44.1% |
42.2% |
39.4% |
4.2% |
76.6% |
75.1% |
36.1% |
Question 9:
When deciding who to vote for at the upcoming federal election, which of the following issues will influence your decision most?
|
|
2nd June |
16th June |
23rd June |
Female |
Male |
18-34 |
35-50 |
51-65 |
65+ |
|
Education |
12.6% |
11.8% |
12.0% |
15.0% |
8.9% |
15.7% |
13.2% |
8.6% |
8.3% |
|
Creating jobs |
16.7% |
16.6% |
14.2% |
12.1% |
16.4% |
12.2% |
17.8% |
14.1% |
11.5% |
|
Health services |
20.6% |
19.1% |
21.4% |
24.9% |
17.6% |
22.1% |
21.3% |
22.6% |
18.8% |
|
Management of the economy |
23.8% |
29.8% |
29.9% |
26.7% |
33.3% |
20.8% |
29.6% |
35.0% |
39.3% |
|
Border protection and asylum seekers |
8.8% |
8.0% |
7.6% |
8.6% |
6.6% |
8.9% |
5.8% |
6.2% |
10.5% |
|
Roads and infrastructure |
4.0% |
3.6% |
2.9% |
1.4% |
4.5% |
4.8% |
2.9% |
1.3% |
1.5% |
|
Climate change and the environment |
13.4% |
11.0% |
12.0% |
11.3% |
12.8% |
15.4% |
9.4% |
12.2% |
10.3% |
|
|
2nd June |
16th June |
23rd June |
L/NP |
Labor |
Greens |
Undecided |
|
Education |
12.6% |
11.8% |
12.0% |
4.7% |
21.9% |
14.4% |
10.7% |
|
Creating jobs |
16.7% |
16.6% |
14.2% |
15.0% |
17.3% |
6.9% |
11.9% |
|
Health services |
20.6% |
19.1% |
21.4% |
9.8% |
34.5% |
17.6% |
23.8% |
|
Management of the economy |
23.8% |
29.8% |
29.9% |
55.2% |
7.9% |
9.7% |
24.4% |
|
Border protection and asylum seekers |
8.8% |
8.0% |
7.6% |
8.7% |
2.2% |
11.6% |
2.4% |
|
Roads and infrastructure |
4.0% |
3.6% |
2.9% |
2.5% |
3.5% |
4.2% |
1.2% |
|
Climate change and the environment |
13.4% |
11.0% |
12.0% |
4.0% |
12.6% |
35.6% |
25.6% |
This survey was conducted using an automated telephone based survey system among 2,349 voters. Telephone numbers and the person within the household were selected at random. The results have been weighted by gender and age to reflect the population according to ABS figures. Please note that due to rounding, not all tables necessarily total 100% and subtotals may also vary. Copyright ReachTEL Pty Ltd.
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