Which are deadlier: sharks or horses? (availability heuristic)
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Amara.org:
http://www.amara.org/en/v/BfbN/
Which do you think is more common: suicide or homicide? By how much? See below for answer.
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So, which is it?
Let's look at the numbers.
Top 15 causes of US deaths,
2007:
25.4% heart disease
23.2% cancer
5.6% stroke
5.3% respiratory
5.1% accidents
3.1%
Alzheimer's
2.9% diabetes
2.2% flu & pneumonia
1.9% kidney disease
1.4% septicemia
1.4% suicide
1.2% liver disease
1.0% hypertension
0.8%
Parkinson's
0.8% homicide
source: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr58/nvsr58_19
.pdf
Suicide is almost twice as common as homicide, for the whole population.
What about ages 15-24? Top causes:
37.4% accidents
13.1% homicide (41.5% for black males 12-19yo)
9.7% suicide
3.9% cancer
2.6% heart disease
0.5% stroke
see also http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db37
.htm
Homicide is a much more common cause of death for young adults — especially young black males. :-/
Did you guess right?
Can you think of any other examples of the availability heuristic misguiding your sense of how often things happen?
Answer in the comments below!
Help us caption & translate this video!
http://amara.org/v/BfbN/