Latest News for: elmo roper

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Crossing the presidential Rubicon: Now Trump is taking pollsters to court

The Hill 23 Dec 2024
President-elect Donald Trump’s lawsuit against veteran pollster J ... Criticism of election pollsters has been frequent, even harsh at times, since George Gallup, Elmo Roper and others began pioneering quasi-scientific survey techniques in the mid-1930s.
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Is Kamala setting herself up for a Dewey-versus-Truman defeat?

The Hill 21 Aug 2024
Kamela Harris’s run for the presidency is showing earmarks of the above-the-fray campaign that Thomas E ... “Some political strategists say Ms ... Elmo Roper, who stopped releasing poll results in September 1948, estimated Dewey led by 15 percentage points.
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Harris is catching up after a predicted Trump ‘landslide’ — but can we trust the polls?

The Hill 15 Aug 2024
Pollster Elmo Roper even stopped releasing poll results that September, saying he would turn his attention to other matters, given that Dewey was certain would win by “a heavy margin.” ... Roper, who took ...
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Don’t bet on those Trump ‘landslide’ predictions just yet

The Hill 17 Jul 2024
Pollster Elmo Roper announced in late summer 1948 that he would release no additional survey results about the race between President Harry Truman and Republican Thomas E ... Roper predicted Dewey would ...
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How the Greatest Upset in Presidential History Almost Became a Constitutional Crisis

Politico 24 Sep 2023
History Dept. How the Greatest Upset in Presidential History Almost Became a Constitutional Crisis ... The polling firm of Elmo Roper even announced in early September that it would cease polling on the presidential race, because the outcome was so clear.
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From a 'deranged' provocateur to IBM's failed AI superproject: the controversial story of how data ...

The Conversation 16 Jan 2023
... psephological errors in the nation’s history – pollsters such as George Gallup and Elmo Roper began to rethink their analytic methods, spinning away from quota sampling and towards random sampling.
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Election Pollsters Face A Big Test In 2022 After Recent Polling Errors

TPM 28 Oct 2022
“I blew it.” ... Murphy won by 3.2 points ... 8 ... Early pollsters such as George Gallup and Elmo Roper were at odds about such matters ... Roper equated election polling to stunts like “tearing a telephone book in two” — impressive, but not all that consequential.
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With memories of embarrassments still fresh, election pollsters face big tests in 2022 midterm elections

The Facts 24 Oct 2022
W ... “I blew it.” ... Murphy won by 3.2 points ... Early pollsters such as George Gallup and Elmo Roper were at odds about such matters ... Roper equated election polling to stunts like “tearing a telephone book in two” – impressive, but not all that consequential.
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