Ukraine’s collapse since the February 2014 coup has
become an umbrella for grabitization. Collateral damage in this
free-for-all has been labor. Many workers are simply not getting paid,
and what actually is being paid is often illegally low.
Employers are taking whatever money is in their business accounts and
squirreling it away – preferably abroad, or at least in foreign
currency.
Wage arrears are getting worse, because as Ukraine approaches the eve
of defaulting on its €10+ billion London debt, kleptocrats and business
owners are jumping ship. They see that foreign lending has dried up and
the exchange rate will plunge further.
The Rada’s announcement last
week that it shifted €8 billion from debt service to spend on a new
military attack on the country’s eastern export region was the last
straw for foreign creditors and even for the IMF. Its loans helped
support the hryvnia’s exchange rate long enough for bankers, businessmen
and others to take whatever money they have and as many euros or
dollars as they can before the imminent collapse in June or July.
In this pre-bankruptcy situation, emptying out the store means not
paying workers or other bills. Wage arrears are reported to have reached
2 billion hryvnia, owed to over half a million workers. This has led
the Federation of Trade Unions of Ukraine to picket against the Cabinet
of Ministers on Wednesday (May 27). More demonstrations are scheduled
for the next two Wednesdays, June 3 and 10. According to union
federation Deputy Head Serhiy Kondratiuk, “the current subsistence wage
of UAH 1,218 is 60% less than the level set in Ukrainian law, which is
confirmed by the calculations if the Social Policy Ministry. … the
subsistence wage in the country should exceed UAH 3,500 a month, but the
government refuses to hold social dialog to revise standards.”
Emptying out Ukrainian business bank accounts will leave empty
shells. With Ukraine’s economy broken, the only buyers with serious
money are European and American. Selling to foreigners is thus the only
way for managers and owners to get a meaningful return – paid in foreign
currency safely in offshore accounts, outside of future Ukrainian
clawback fines. Privatization and capital flight go together.
So does short-changing labor. The new buyers will reorganize the
assets they buy, declare the old firms bankrupt and erase their wage
arrears, along with any other bills that are owed. The restructured
companies will claim that bankruptcy has wiped out whatever the former
firms (or public enterprises) owed to workers. It is much like what
corporate raiders do in the United States to wipe out pension
obligations and other debts. They will claim to have to “saved”
Ukrainian economy and “made it competitive.”
The Pinochet coup in Chile was a dress rehearsal for all this. The
U.S.-backed military junta targeted labor leaders, journalists, and
potential political leaders, as well as university professors (closing
every economics department in Chile except for the Chicago “free
market”-based Catholic University). You cannot have a “free market”
Chicago-style, after all, without taking such totalitarian steps.
U.S. strategists like to name such ploys after predatory birds: Operation Phoenix in Vietnam, and Operation Condor in Latin America that targeted “lefties,” intellectuals and
others. A similar program is underway against Ukraine’s Russian
speakers. I don’t know the code word being used, so let’s call it
Operation Vulture.
For labor leaders, the problem is not only to collect back wages, but
to survive with a future living wage. If they refrain from protesting,
they simply won’t get paid. This is why they are organizing a growing
neo-Maidan protest explicitly onbehalf of wage earners – so that the junta’s Right
Sector snipers cannot accuse the demonstrators of being pro-Russian. The
unions have protected themselves by seeking support from the UN’s
International Labour Organization (ILO), and from the International
Trade Union Confederation in Brussels.
The most effective tactic to tackle the corruption that is permitting
the non-payment of wages and pensions is to focus on the present
regime’s foreign support, especially from the IMF and EU. Using labor’s
grievances as an umbrella to demand related reforms could include
warnings that any sale of Ukrainian land, raw materials, public
utilities or other assets to foreign buyers can be reversed by future,
less corrupt governments.
In labor’s favor is the fact that the IMF has violating its Articles
of Agreement by lending for military purposes. As soon as its last loan
was disbursed, Poroshenko announced that he was stepping up his war
against the East. This brings the IMF loan close to being what legal
theorists call an Odious Debt: debts to a junta taking power and looting
the government’s Treasury and other assets in the public domain,
leaving future governments to pay off what has been stolen.
Labor’s fight for a living wage is not only for retroactive
shortfalls, but to put in place a recovery plan to protect against the
economy being treated like Greece or Latvia, neoliberal style. U.S.
strategists have been discussing whether they could dismiss the $3
billion that Ukraine owes Russia this December as an “odious debt”; or,
perhaps, classify it as “foreign aid” and hence not collectible in
practice. Ironic as it may seem, the Peterson Institute of International
Economics, George Soros and other Cold Warriors have provided future
Ukrainian governments with a repertory of legal reasons to reconstitute
their economy foreign-debt free – leaving the government able to pay
wage and pension arrears.
The alternative is for international creditors to win the case for
putting foreign bondholders, the IMF and European Union first, and sovereign rights to prevent self-destruction second.
from here
Saturday, May 30, 2015
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