When I first published ‘The Cameron Delusion’, under its original title of ‘The Broken Compass’, the distinguished parodist Craig Brown tried to satirise my index in ‘Private Eye. Since the index itself is satirical (I love doing my own indexes now computers have made the job so simple) he didn’t do all that well, and , annoyingly, he didn’t mention the name of the book. But never mind.
One of my favourite entries was under ‘A’, and along the lines of ‘Afghanistan, a very long way from North Atlantic’ (I’m in the middle of an internal office move and can’t lay hands on an actual copy). The point was simple. What was a body called ‘The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation’ doing intervening in a complex tribal struggle on the edge of the Himalayas? The location really couldn’t be further from the North Atlantic, either in miles or in nature.
It is odd that nobody (except, occasionally, me) really seeks the answer to this question. The reinvention of NATO is one of the strangest and most instructive changes of the post-Cold War world. It sits in the middle of the diplomatic landscape, a great looming monolith. Why is this? What is it for? Whom or what is it against?
My explanation for the lack of curiosity is the usual one. People are, for the most part, willing propaganda-swallowers. Some of these such as Mr ‘P’, the Wiki Man, actually like the taste so much that they can’t easily be weaned off it. I’ll pause for a moment to illustrate this, before continuing with the main topic of NATO.
Mr P’s struggle to avoid the truth about Ukraine has now become heroic. For instance, in a recent contribution he wrote:
‘Aggression usually is, and in fact is defined as, an action detrimental to the aggressee and against the aggressee's will.’
But he still can’t somehow acknowledge that Ukraine’s change (following a violent foreign-sponsored mob putsch) from being a non-aligned country to being a member of an anti-Russian economic and political alliance is not detrimental to the interests of Russia and against Russia’s (openly and repeatedly expressed) will.
Mr ‘P’ also competes for the Obtuseness Olympics when he writes: ‘In response to my point that tanks rolling over borders *is* aggression, Mr Hitchens, wafting this thought aside, merely opines, Humpty Dumpty-like, that aggression can mean many things, and in this case what Mr Hitchens wants it to mean.’
This is not what I say at all, and he knows it. I say that Russia’s actions are a defensive response to aggression, and that to pretend that the realignment of Ukraine through foreign intervention and the violent overthrow of its government is not aggression is to deceive yourself and (perhaps) others.
I’ll reproduce here part of Richard Pipes’s interesting summary of the traditional European Christian diplomacy (based on the Stoic concept of the Law of Nature ) which the Bolsheviks overthrew in 1917 ( having themselves been put in power by a German-financed putsch, which could be described as ‘aggression’, and was certainly an act of war).
‘International relations are confined to contacts between governments: It is a violation of diplomatic norms for one government to go over the head of another with direct appeals to its population’.
We all know this in any case. How many times have I asked the following questions and received no answers to them from Mr ‘P’ or his allies. How would we in Britain react if EU politicians appeared among pro-independence crowds in Edinburgh or Glasgow, distributing biscuits to them and affirming their solidarity with them?
And how would the EU and NATO and the State Department react if Russian politicians appeared amidst Russian-speaking crowds in Riga or Tallinn, handing out biscuits and urging a new Association Agreement with the Eurasian Union?
They do not answer because they know that such behaviour would be greeted by all right-thinking persons with rage and protests, and rightly so. And that it is directly comparable to the behaviour described in these links, which actually took place:
http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-London/2014/08/04/EU-millions-paid-for-Ukrainian-groups-behind-Yanukovych-overthrow
http://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-victoria-nuland-wades-into-ukraine-turmoil-over-yanukovich/
http://eastbook.eu/en/2013/12/uncategorized-en/two-days-in-the-hottest-scene-catherine-ashton-visits-ukraine/
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/ukraine/10518859/John-McCain-in-Kiev-Ukraine-will-make-Europe-better.html
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/12/04/uk-ukraine-idUKBRE9B20BV20131204
Mr P also says ‘Mr Hitchens here concedes that Ukraine desires to join the EU, which is central to my overall point. ‘. I am not sure that I ‘concede’ any such thing. Many Ukrainian politicians and oligarchs undoubtedly wish to join the EU, because they hope it will provide an unceasing pipeline of money from which they can, er, benefit. The elites of many poor and bankrupt countries likewise believe, rightly or wrongly, that EU membership will lead them to prosperity.
I should have thought that Greece was a good example of the general dangers of this belief. As or the peoples of these countries, they are, alas, as ill-informed and as easily-manipulated as people generally are. Personally, I have always thought that the aim of the EU was political, not economic, and I have found that most informed continental people agree with me. It is only in Britain that we persist in seeing the EU as an economic project. The adventures of the Euro seem to make this point quite well.
Whether the Ukrainian people are any better-informed about the meaning of EU membership for their lives than other populations rushed into the body by their elites, I do not presume to know. The word’ Ukraine’ is not in fact synonymous with ‘Government of Ukraine’. I have no doubt that the current government of Ukraine, installed following a violent unconstitutional putsch, favours the closest possible relations with the EU. But, given that this putsch was backed by the EU, this is hardly a surprise.
Mr ‘P’ makes some silly remarks about Cuba, which is plainly in the USA’s sphere of influence, and whose problems for the past 50 years stem from Soviet meddling in the Caribbean.
This was comparable in provocative irresponsibility to current American meddling in central Europe. It is precisely because the USA regards Cuba as legitimately part of its sphere that it has invaded and then blockaded that island. Is this aggression, or legitimate response to provocation I should say the latter, while describing Soviet Russia’s behaviour in Cuba as aggressive, even before the installation of the famous missiles.
Russia’s current interests in Cuba are vestigial and, I suspect, no more than mischievous retaliation for American meddling in the Caucasus. On my last visit to Cuba, Chinese involvement, and of course Venezuelan involvement, were miles more significant.
Also his reference to Humpty Dumpty is (as I have pointed out to him before, but he paid no attention) wrong. The point about Humpty Dumpty’s use of words was that he used them to mean whatever he liked, and for purposes wholly unrelated to their original use. Thus ‘There’s glory for you’ meant, in Humpty-speak ‘There’s a nice knock-down argument for you’.
My dispute with Mr ‘P’ is not a semantic one and certainly does not involve the total misuse of English. We agree about what aggression *is* in general. Our difference concerns the question of whether there is any other form of aggression apart from the despatch of tanks and troops across a border. Of course there is. But Mr ’P’ knows that his argument will collapse in ruins as soon as he acknowledges this, so he doesn’t acknowledge it. There is a word for this sort of behaviour, but I have forgotten what it is. Let’s just describe it as ‘self-serving anti-thinking’.
Mr ‘P’ offers Russia some good advice about its economy (I can’t imagine why they haven’t taken it, can you? Perhaps it isn’t as easy as it looks), thus : ‘producing goods people want to buy and opening up markets into which people want to sell. A step in that direction would be to rid the system of ex-KGB mafioso politics and oligarchical economics, get to allowing free expression throughout the media and in public discourse’ (actually speech in Russia is more free than he seems to imagine, the problem being much more that of access to major media platforms, much as it is here only more directly state-influenced).
Actually, this is advice that Britain could just as readily take to heart, since our indebted economy, with its miserable manufacturing base, its poor exports and its over-dependence on the City (plus its long insulation from reality by North Sea Oil) is really not all that much more healthy than Russia’s, and couldn’t withstand the sort of attack on it now being made on Russia’s economy.
But his final paragraph enables me to slip back into the general discussion of NATO. Mr P’ writes (first quoting me) : "The even deeper mystery is why anyone in Britain thinks that EU eastward expansion is something this country needs to or should support. What’s in it for us?"
Mr ‘P’ asks :’ What does one make of this? Is there something 'in it for us' if we don't support it? Russia won't attack us if we don't support it. Is that what's 'in it for us'? We'll get a good deal on gas prices. Is that it, or something like it? Is Mr Hitchens an appeasement-monkey?’
I respond that this is just a smear. Foreign policy is generally conducted for the benefit of the country involved. Why then is Britain so keenly joining in on the side of Brussels against Moscow? I cannot myself see what direct interest Britain has in taking the EU’s side in its dispute with Russia. Britain buys very little gas from Russia, relying far more on Norway, and has no strong commercial ties with Russia which would be affected by this conflict. I recommend, as I have always recommended, staying out of a quarrel that isn’t ours and discouraging dogmatic hotheads who seem to think it as a contest between the Shire and Mordor.
Mr ;P’ is one of these, it seems. He says :’ Why should we support it? Well for one thing we would be supporting the aspirations of the former and courageous Soviet satellites, understandably still nervous of the ghosts of politburos past, now rapidly becoming a very real apparition of Tsarisms past. ‘
People in this part of the world are indeed understandably nervous, but not just of politburos (vanished) and tsars (even more defunct). They have reason to be nervous of Germany and its ‘federative empire’ too, and if Mr ‘P’ had spent much time in that region he would know that the fear and the pressure are not always in one direction only.
I am not sure what makes these former Soviet satellites, now EU satellites, so ‘courageous’. What have they done that is so brave? They and their people behaved just as we would behave in the same circumstances – sharing a bed with a hippo on one side and an elephant on the other - very carefully.
Having gained, briefly, actual independence from one empire, they have scuttled, almost as one, under the skirts of another. I should have thought it would have been braver to stay out of both. In any case, I fail to see what it matters to me, whether they look to Moscow or Brussels, as long as the conflict isn’t pushed to the extent of war.
But here we are again at NATO. Lord Ismay famously described its original purpose as keeping the Americans in, the Germans down and the Russians out …in all cases the preposition referred to Western Europe.
Implicit in NATO’s whole existence was that it accepted absolutely the Soviet domination of the continent from Marienborn eastwards. NATO ignored the 1953 crushing of the East Berlin workers’ rising, the crushing of the 1956 Hungarian rising, the building of the Berlin Wall in 1961, the crushing of the 1968 Prague Spring, the crushing of Polish Solidarity in the 1980s.
It also had no interest in anything outside Western Europe. It had nothing important to say about the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan (other people began a long and dangerous process by seeking to oppose that) , nor about China’s crushing of the Tiananmen Square protests.
In some ways more interesting, it was pretty much of a spare part when two if its members almost came to blows over Cyprus in 1974. Turkey, then and now a member of NATO in good standing, invaded and seized North Cyprus.
This was a far more troubled event than Russia’s seizure of Crimea 40 years later, but it has some interesting parallels. Like Russia’s action, it followed a violent foreign-backed putsch which installed a government in Nicosia that was as hostile to Turkey (and to Turkish concerns) as the post-putsch Kiev government was hostile to Russia and Russian concerns.
Its purpose was to turn Cyprus into a Greek island, rather than ( as it then was) an independent state carefully non-aligned between Greece and Turkey. Yet as far as I know, no Greek ships, planes, troops or tanks were directly involved. Was this therefore aggression?
Obviously it was, unless you are Mr ‘P’, who presumably attributes it to a desire by ‘Cyprus’ (the divisions in whose population he will not be able to acknowledge as real, if he applies to it the same lens he applies to Ukraine) to be aligned with Greece. But will he? I doubt it. For this was a putsch by the ‘right-wing’ .
At the time, Greece was of course a military dictatorship. Turkey was not, but the army stood behind the government in a pretty convincing way, and Turkish governments which annoyed the army tended not to last very long in those days.
Anyway, there were many atrocities during this affair, and large numbers of people were frightened or driven from beloved homes. An entire city, Famagusta, remains deserted to this day as a result. Nicosia remains divided, as does Cyprus itself. Nobody ( apart from Turkey) recognizes the state of Northern Cyprus set up by Turkey.
But on the other hand, there are no sanctions against Turkey, and no attempts to destabilise the Turkish economy, just repeated patient attempts to reach a negotiated settlement. Greece and Cyprus have subsequently been allowed to join the EU (*in the original version of this post I wrongly stated that Turkey has been permitted to join the EU, which I knew perfectly well was not the case. I suspect this mistake just goes to show how the EU and NATO have become increasingly confused) , despite being in some ways party to this rather disgraceful running sore of a conflict.
Britain, which actually possesses large military bases next door, and was generally thought to have some lingering responsibility for an island it once ruled and had fought quite hard to hang on to, sat back and did nothing as the Turks parachuted down. Those who regarded the behaviour of the international community at the time as shameful were generally ignored. There was a great lack of blowhards demanding that we went on a war footing against Turkey.
Now, if our behaviour over Crimea and Ukraine is governed by any sort of universal law, advocates of the New Cold War and believers in the ‘Putin is the new Hitler’ theory will have to explain to me (once again) the lack of consistency in our approach here.
For it’s even more striking now. Some of you may have noticed the poorly-covered events in Turkey a few days ago, eg http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-30468199
There is nothing new in this behaviour by Mr Erdogan . Yet his wickedness is little-known in this country (the other day a presenter of Radio 4’s ‘Today’ programme, who really ought to be in touch with such things, was so unfamiliar with him that she did not know that the ‘g’ in ‘Erdogan’ is silent.
I wrote this introduction to a speech I didn’t in the end deliver to the Cambridge Union a few weeks ago (there wasn’t time , alas):
‘His regime has imprisoned 70 journalists, does sinister deals with Islamist terrorists, uses ultra-violence against rebel ethnic groups, railroads its political opponents into jail on plainly invented charges, brutally gasses, clubs and even kills peaceful protestors. He is a crude demagogue, given to violent and intolerant language. He has moved from being a parliamentary prime minister to an all-powerful directly elected president. His media are cowed or compliant His troops illegally occupy another country’s sovereign territory, where he maintains a puppet government.’
No, it’s not Vladimir Putin. It’s our NATO ally, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, President of Turkey.
While he is in many ways similar to Mr Putin, he has for years been the poster-boy of the Economist magazine, the head of state of a NATO member - and his misdeeds are barely-known to the noisy moralizers of the British media.’
Regular readers here will know of my interest in this NATO head of state, for example:
http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2014/08/mr-erdogan-changes-trams-.html
and
http://hitchensblog.mailonsunday.co.uk/2010/08/the-disturbing-picture-of-growing-repression-at-the-heart-of-eurabia.html
Some of you will have noticed Mr Erdogan's odd behaviour towards Islamic State and Syria in recent months, not perhaps the action of a close ally of the ‘West’.
Well, all of this would make perfect sense if we still confronted a potent Soviet threat, Admiral Gorchkov’s huge Black Sea Fleet (now mostly razor blades) , the Soviet Army parked up against the borders of Turkey in Armenia and of Iran in Azerbaijan, and all these powers devoted to the cause of establishing Soviet power across the globe, directed by a Communist Politburo. Against such a power, you aren’t too choosy about whose help you accept.
But we don’t. We face a declining, shrinking Russia whose principal sin is to complain when we try to diminish it further, whereupon we accuse it of aggression’.
What is NATO for? Why wasn’t it wound up, as was its mirror image, the Warsaw Pact, when the Cold War ended? Do you keep a mower when you don’t have a garden? Why then have an anti-Soviet alliance when there isn’t a Soviet Union?
In the years of Boris Yeltsin, as I understood it, Russia was generally regarded as a friendly power. We happily stood by, even helped, when Yeltsin retained power in a rigged election, and when he bombarded his own parliament with tanks, and sent troops into the state TV headquarters. So against what threat did we extend its umbrella into Eastern Europe and the Baltic states?
What does it stand for, if Turkey can remain a member in good standing? Democracy? Sort of, though Turkey isn’t much more democratic than Mr Putin’s Russia. Liberty and the rule of law? Hardly. Mr Erdogan is not very good at that, and nor (whisper it quietly) are some of the other members. Rigid adherence to International Law? Again, not while Turkey continues to occupy North Cyprus. Absence of corruption? Ha ha. Freedom of the press? Not exactly. And so it goes on. And what on earth was NATO doing in Afghanistan? Who knows? Didn't work out, anyway.
In considering these anomalies, you may just begin to see the outlines of what may be happening, You will certainly, if you allow yourself to think about these facts , be liberated from the propaganda of the new Cold War’ advocates, and the people who think that one lot of oligarchs in Ukraine are princes of peace, love and beauty, while an equally unlovely bunch of Oligarchs in Moscow are from the nether pit of hell.
But, as we so often find, you can lead a horse to water, but you can’t make him think. Doesn’t the old saying go something like that?