Politics
Occupational Health News Roundup
Posted by Kim Krisberg on April 27, 2016 CDC investigates diacetyl exposure in coffee production facilities; Supreme Court rules in favor of workers’ First Amendment rights; Latino workers still face the greatest fatality risks at work; and a job-seeking experiment finds women bear the brunt of age discrimination in the job market.
Did Ted Cruz Just Give Donald Trump A Lock on the Nomination?
Posted by Greg Laden on April 27, 2016 
I recently noted that a reasonable prediction indicates that Trump could enter the Republican National Convention a mere 8 delegates short of a lock. (See this.) But now, Ted Cruz may have changed that math a bit, by announcing that Carly Fiorina as his vice presidential running mate. She was one of the least popular…
Who won the Democratic Primaries in PA, CT, RI, DE, and MD?
Posted by Greg Laden on April 26, 2016 
Reports are just coming in, and as if often the case, Trump is already being declared winner in some states. But the Democratic primaries are different … there are actually two candidates who get delegates instead of just one … so it takes a little longer to count up the votes. As a reminder, these…
Tuesday’s Democratic Primaries: Clinton favored in all polls, but Sanders will win two
Posted by Greg Laden on April 22, 2016 
Between now and the end of the primary season, I expect Sanders to pick up more delegates than Clinton, in total, by a very small margin. On Tuesday, April 26th, there will be primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island. That’s 384 pledged delegates at stake. Polls put Clinton ahead in all these…
Sanders Campaign: The system is NOT rigged against us
Posted by Greg Laden on April 21, 2016 
We hear a lot about how the system is rigged against Sanders and in favor of Clinton. Such yammering is normal for a political campaign, but if you believe it, I’d love to sell you a nice bridge down near New York City. There are two things you need to know. First, the Sanders campaign,…
Moans and groans about OSHA silica rule, but reality check by Democrats
Posted by Celeste Monforton, DrPH, MPH of Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University on April 20, 2016 “Bad math” and “slippery language” is how Rep. Mark Pocan (D-WI) characterized some of the testimony at this week’s congressional hearing on OSHA’s new silica regulation.
Researchers find a $15 minimum wage could prevent thousands of premature deaths
Posted by Kim Krisberg on April 20, 2016 Just a few weeks ago, legislators in New York reached a deal to raise the minimum wage to $15. And while that’s certainly a big boost for incomes, it could also turn out to be a literal lifesaver.
Trump may be 9 delegates short of a lock
Posted by Greg Laden on April 20, 2016 
UPDATED The update includes adding actual delegate counts for races so far, recognizing that for Pennsylvania this means only 17 delegates out of 54, even though he won there, because Pennsylvania is strange. Also, some other revisions. This estimate still uses a combination of polling data and information in this discussion at FiveThirtyEight by Nate…
Who Will Win The New York Democratic Primary?
Posted by Greg Laden on April 18, 2016 
As you know, I’ve been applying a model to predict the outcome of each of the Democratic Primary contests, and have done pretty well at predicting results. All of the future contests are primaries, not caucuses. It turns out that the two modes have very different patterns. Many have suggested that this has to do…
Can Donald Trump Lock the Nomination?
Posted by Greg Laden on April 18, 2016 
EDITED AFTER NEW YORK PRIMARY NOTE: UPDATED AND IMPROVED VERSION OF THIS ANALYSIS IS HERE There is almost no way that Donald trump will get to the Republican National Convention with anything less than a fairly strong majority of pledged delegates. But can he get there with the 1237 delegates needed to lock the nomination…
