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2016
CHINA STOCK MARKET COLLAPSE -
Chinese State Banks Pouring
Cash Into
Market To Halt
Collapse
ONE of the many oddities of the topsy-turvy world of
Chinese finance is that red is green and green is red. In most countries “going into the red” means losing money; stocks that are falling are often depicted in red on ticker boards. In
China, however, red is auspicious and so is the colour for stocks that make gains; green is for the losers. Before trading started on
January 4th, the first trading day of 2016, Chinese financial media were full of cheery predictions that the nation’s markets would “open the door to red”—that is, get off to a flying start. But when the door opened, it was a flood of green.
The
CSI 300, an index of the country’s biggest stocks, fell by 7%, the worst-ever start to a year for Chinese markets.
Small-cap stocks fared even worse, many falling by the daily maximum of 10%. Monday was the first day of operation for new “circuit breakers”—automatic 15-minute pauses in trading whenever the CSI 300 swings up or down by 5%. These are intended to restore calm when the markets are in a frenzy. No such luck: less than ten minutes after trading resumed following the first such pause, the index fell by another two percentage points. That triggered another circuit breaker, prompting a suspension in trading for the remainder of the day.
Wall Street has continued the rout on global share markets, with the
Dow Jones,
S&P; 500 closing down more than 1.5% and
Nasdaq down 2%.
Chinese authorities Tuesday flooded the banking system with the largest cash injection since September, likely helping soothe equity markets a day after a stock rout that rocked global financial markets. Earlier on Monday, trading on
China's Shanghai and
Shenzhen stock exchanges was halted for the first time under new "circuit breaker" rules, which are designed to curb market volatility.
Nevertheless, it is surely not the kind of start to 2016 that Chinese authorities were hoping to see from their financial markets. They have consistently claimed that their stockmarket rescue was only meant to be temporary. Yet if the sell-off continues, it would not be surprising to see them wade in once again. As for the yuan, the central bank has signalled that it is willing to see depreciation, at least against the dollar. "stock market" china chinese bonds banking savings "savings account" "bank account" 2016
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You can stop waiting for a global financial crisis to happen. The truth is that one is happening right now.
All over the world, stock markets are already crashing. Most of these stock market crashes are occurring in nations that are known as “emerging markets”. In recent years, developing countries in
Asia,
South America and
Africa loaded up on lots of cheap loans that were denominated in
U.S. dollars. But now that the
U.S. dollar has been surging, those borrowers are finding that it takes much more of their own local currencies to service those loans. At the same time, prices are crashing for many of the commodities that those countries export. The exact same kind of double whammy caused the
Latin American debt crisis of the
1980s and the
Asian financial crisis of the
1990s.
Leaving aside this technical change, the
SDR has been dominated by the “
Big Four” (US, UK,
Japan, and
Europe) since the
IMF abandoned the gold SDR in
1973. This is why inclusion of the
Chinese yuan is so momentous. You can think of this as a four-person poker game where a fifth player just sat down at the table with a large pile of chips. The poker game will now take on a new dynamic.
- published: 06 Jan 2016
- views: 9265