In
2001, the independent research company
Graham Fisher &
Company stated that
HUD’s
1995 “
National Homeownership
Strategy:
Partners in the
American Dream,” a 100-page affordable housing advocacy document, promoted “the relaxation of credit standards.”[34]
In the early and mid-2000s, the
Bush administration called numerous times[40] for investigation into the safety and soundness of the
GSEs and their swelling portfolio of subprime mortgages. On
September 10, 2003, the
House Financial Services Committee held a hearing at the urging of the administration to assess safety and soundness issues and to review a recent report by the
Office of
Federal Housing
Enterprise Oversight (
OFHEO) that had uncovered accounting discrepancies within the two entities.[41] The hearings never resulted in new legislation or formal investigation of
Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, as many of the committee members refused to accept the report and instead rebuked OFHEO for their attempt at regulation.[42] Some believe this was an early warning to the systemic risk that the growing market in subprime mortgages posed to the
U.S. financial system that went unheeded.[43]
A 2000 United States Department of the
Treasury study of lending trends for
305 cities from
1993 to
1998 showed that $467 billion of mortgage lending was made by
Community Reinvestment Act (
CRA)-covered lenders into low and mid level income (
LMI) borrowers and neighborhoods, representing 10% of all U.S. mortgage lending during the period. The majority of these were prime loans.
Sub-prime loans made by CRA-covered institutions constituted a 3% market share of LMI loans in 1998,[44] but in the run-up to the crisis, fully 25% of all sub-prime lending occurred at CRA-covered institutions and another 25% of sub-prime loans had some connection with CRA
.[45] In addition, an analysis by the
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas in 2009, however, concluded that the CRA was not responsible for the mortgage loan crisis, pointing out that CRA rules have been in place since 1995 whereas the poor lending emerged only a decade later.[46] Furthermore, most sub-prime loans were not made to the LMI borrowers targeted by the CRA, especially in the years
2005–
2006 leading up to the crisis. Nor did it find any evidence that lending under the CRA rules increased delinquency rates or that the CRA indirectly influenced independent mortgage lenders to ramp up sub-prime lending.
To other analysts the delay between CRA rule changes (in 1995) and the explosion of subprime lending is not surprising, and does not exonerate the CRA. They contend that there were two, connected causes to the crisis: the relaxation of underwriting standards in 1995 and the ultra-low interest rates initiated by the
Federal Reserve after the terrorist attack on
September 11, 2001. Both causes had to be in place before the crisis could take place.[47] Critics also
point out that publicly announced CRA loan commitments were massive, totaling $
4.5 trillion in the years between
1994 and
2007.[48] They also argue that the Federal Reserve’s classification of CRA loans as “prime” is based on the faulty and self-serving assumption that high-interest-rate loans (3 percentage points over average) equal “subprime” loans.[49]
Others have pointed out that there were not enough of these loans made to cause a crisis of this magnitude. In an article in
Portfolio Magazine,
Michael Lewis spoke with one trader who noted that "There weren’t enough
Americans with [bad] credit taking out [bad loans] to satisfy investors' appetite for the end product." Essentially, investment banks and hedge funds used financial innovation to enable large wagers to be made, far beyond the actual value of the underlying mortgage loans, using derivatives called credit default swaps, collateralized debt obligations and synthetic
CDOs.[50]
As of March 2011 the
FDIC has had to pay out $9 billion to cover losses on bad loans at 165 failed financial institutions.[51] The
Congressional Budget Office estimated, in June
2011, that the bailout to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac exceeds $
300 billion (calculated by adding the fair value deficits of the entities to the direct bailout funds at the time).[52]
Economist Paul Krugman argued in
January 2010 that the simultaneous growth of the residential and commercial real estate pricing bubbles and the global nature of the crisis undermines the case made by those who argue that Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, CRA, or predatory lending were primary causes of the crisis. In other words, bubbles in both markets developed even though only the residential market was affected by these potential causes.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Financial_crisis_of_2007%E2%80%9308
- published: 07 Nov 2015
- views: 128