http://www.profitconfidential.com/silver/silver-prices-this-will-continue-to-lift-silver-prices-higher/
Silver Prices: This Will
Continue to
Lift Silver Prices
Higher.
Gold and silver prices are being driven higher by global economic weakness and the growing number of central banks implementing negative interest rates. While gold and silver prices normally have a negative relationship to a strong
U.S. dollar and low interest rates, that’s not the case this time around. And until the global economy registers sustainable growth, gold and silver will continue to be one of the most attractive investments out there. After years of unsustainable double-digit growth, the stock market is giving up some well-deserved ground. Not because of profit-taking, but because fundamentals are catching up with share prices. So far in 2016, the
S&P; 500 is down close to five percent and has lost roughly nine percent of its value over its 52-week high. Gold, on the other hand, is up more than 16.0% since the beginning of the year and is trading at an eight-month high, while silver has gained almost 10.0% and is at a three-month high.
Silver and gold might be zero-yielding assets, but they’re both looking a lot more attractive when you consider stocks are tanking, fourth-quarter results were pretty weak, and the global economy is in the tank. It doesn’t hurt that the
Federal Reserve has taken a cautious tone regarding future interest rate hikes. Since the Federal Reserve raised rates in December, for the first time in nearly a decade, oil prices fell even further, and the stock market has plunged. On top of that, weak fourth-quarter results from
S&P; 500-listed companies and global economic downgrades from the
World Bank,
International Monetary Fund (
IMF), and the
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development (
OECD) have made the Federal Reserve taken a second look at its interest rate hike policy. Which is a good thing. In addition to the average
American, the global economy may not be able to handle higher
U.S. interest rates either.
That’s because roughly 25% of global gross domestic product (
GDP) is operating under negative interest rates. (
Source: “Over a
Fifth of
Global GDP is Now Covered by a
Central Bank With
Negative Rates,”
The Wall Street Journal,
January 29, 2016.)
The Bank of
Japan recently introduced negative interest rates of -0.1%.
Back in
2012, the
Danish central bank initiated negative interest rates; in 2014, the
European Central Bank (
ECB) and
Swiss National bank both introduced negative interest rates.
Sweden followed suit in
2015. The Bank of Japan and the ECB are responsible for around 21% of global GDP, while Danish, Swedish, and Swiss GDP add up to less than 2.5% of the global total.
Going forward,
Canada is the country most likely to introduce negative interest rates. It accounts for a little more than one percent of global GDP. What do negative interest rates mean for investors?
People and institutions are paying the banks to hold onto their money.
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- published: 29 Feb 2016
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