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State by state, it’s still Malcolm Turnbull’s election to lose (Monash University)

Edit Public Technologies 11 May 2016
(Source. Monash University). Even though it is not yet official, the 2016 election is all but set for July 2 ... Both Newspoll and Ipsos find a recovery in support for Labor in every state, but not to any particularly significant level - with the exception of Western Australia ... Both Newspoll and Ipsos have indicated severe weakening of support for the major parties in that state, thus adding another degree of difficulty to the contest....

Are voters turning on Turnbull?

Edit CNBC 09 May 2016
Following the results of the latest Newspoll, which showed Labor leading the Coalition 51-49, the PM has his work cut out for him, notes Alex Oliver of the Lowy Institute ... ....

Federal Election 2016: WA may be another disaster for the ALP

Edit Sydney Morning Herald 09 May 2016
The good news for Labor is that its stocks in Western Australia are set to improve in the federal election. The bad? That is largely because things have never been worse and the only way would seem to be up ... In the Senate, the party has only three out of 12 WA seats. Advertisement ... The most recent Newspoll had Labor's two-party vote in WA up to 36 per cent and the Coalition's down to 47 ... - AAP. ....

Turnbull reminisces about banana packing as 'real world' campaign foray bears fruit

Edit The Guardian 09 May 2016
Bursting out of the blocks at 7am, having no doubt digested polling showing him either narrowly in front (Ipsos) or narrowly behind (Newspoll), Turnbull was deliberately conveying the confidence of a bloke who was destined to win, striding into the Brisbane markets (a regular stop for prime ministerial candidates as it’s in the marginal seat of ......

View from the Street: Which party is undermining itself most today?

Edit Sydney Morning Herald 09 May 2016
…and they're off! ... Advertisement. Meanwhile Newspoll's too-close-to-realistically-call result has the numbers reversed, suggesting that the electorate was hardly galvanised by Treasurer Scott Morrison's budget, despite repeating "jobs and growth" a risible 13 times in 30 minutes, or Bill Shorten's impassioned rhetoric about fairness and jabs at the Prime Minister's personal fortune.  ... The New Girl ...   ...  ....

Polls still show tight election race

Edit Otago Daily Times 08 May 2016
The latest Newspoll shows Labor sits ahead of the government with 51 percent to 49 percent in two-party preferred terms ... The Newspoll has him leading Mr Shorten 49 percent to 27 percent ... Two out of five voters would be prepared to see a reduction in taxpayer-funded entitlements, such as family payments, as a means to repair the budget, the Newspoll shows ... "The election was always going to be close ... ....

Australian election 2016: polls show Labor with slight lead ahead of Coalition 51% to 49% – live

Edit The Guardian 08 May 2016
We follow the leaders Malcolm Turnbull and Bill Shorten as well as all the developments and news on the first official full day of the election campaign. LIVE Updated. @bkjabour. Live feed. Show. 21.28. I am quite tickled by the Australian’s choice of headline — Bridie Jabour (@bkjabour) May 8, 2016 ... Facebook. Twitter ... Newspoll, published in the Australian, has Labor slightly ahead of the Coalition on a 51%-49% two-party-preferred basis ... ....

Australian PM Turnbull announces general election set for July 2

Edit CNN 08 May 2016
(CNN)Australia's general election will be held on July 2, Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull announced Sunday. He said he visited Governor General Peter Cosgrove to request the dissolution of the country's parliament in preparation for an election ... Read More. Leading opinion pollster Newspoll shows the ruling Liberal Party has partnered with the National Party to form a voting bloc -- trailing Labor 51% to 49% ... History repeats itself ... ....

Nick Xenophon brings 'X factor' to election results in South Australia

Edit The Guardian 05 May 2016
If the Nick Xenophon Team can poll at 25% they would likely win lower-house seats, making a hung parliament more likely ... Related. Indigenous groups disappointed in budget with 'little to offer' ... The most recent state Newspoll had the Liberal party leading with 53% of the two-party preferred vote in South Australia, although there has been a national shift towards Labor since that polling was conducted ... South Australia electorates map ... ....

Essential poll shows Labor maintains a 52-48, two-party preferred lead

Edit The Guardian 03 May 2016
The poll shows 57% support for Labor’s carbon emissions policy and 43% of voters in favour of negative gearing. @Paul_Karp. Labor has maintained a 52-48, two-party preferred lead in the latest Essential poll, and also received majority support for its carbon policy. Related ... Related ... On 5 April, Labor pulled ahead of the Coalition for the first time since Tony Abbott was replaced as prime minister with a 51-49% result in Newspoll. ....

Turnbull Seeks Aussie Election Springboard With Growth Budget

Edit Bloomberg 03 May 2016
Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull is betting a budget aimed at fostering Australian jobs and growth will give his government a bounce as it heads to July elections trailing the main opposition ... Voters will get to decide on that plan at the election, he said ... The coalition trailed the Labor opposition 49 percent to 51 percent on a two-party preferred basis in the latest Newspoll last month ... “Turnbull is hoping to win trust,” Hughes said ... ....

View from the Street: So, wait… are we closing our detention centres?

Edit Sydney Morning Herald 03 May 2016
Victim, meet blame ... On an unrelated matter ... Yes ... (And let's be parenthetically clear. those excuses are completely arbitrary ... Your leaders at work ... the latest Morgan polls have Labor slightly ahead, bringing it into line with the most recent polls by Essential and Newspoll, which makes the election still too close to call while making the spectre of a hung parliament just that little bit more corporeal.  ... ....

Queensland: up to 10 LNP seats could change hands in federal election

Edit The Guardian 29 Apr 2016
LNP won 57% of two-party-preferred vote in Queensland in 2013, but polls suggest large swing away to Labor. Queensland is always a key state in federal elections – it’s a large state, with a large number of marginal seats. Recent polls suggest six to 10 Coalition seats could be up for grabs in the state ... Related ... Recent polls suggest a large swing away from the Coalition ... The latest Newspoll state breakdown has the LNP on 51% ... Related ... ....
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