Title: Systems analysis for geophysics: Challenges of the 21st century Abstract: Theoretical and applied studies in evaluation, prediction and prevention of natural disasters, along with research in diminution of their vulnerability, are the major systems analysis problem(s). Earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, hurricanes, floods, magnetic storms etc., being complex natural systems by themselves, are immersed into even more complex systems of permanently developed industrial, economic, demographic, scientific and political environments. Complexity of this system of systems exponentially grows with time. Adequate mathematical description and systems analysis of the multi-lateral interactions of these complex systems will require in the 21st century new mathematical approaches. The latter should come up with joint analysis of increasing with time huge data flows of principally different origins. After being tested and evaluated in numerous significant applied system analysis problems, such new mathematical techniques can be further developed theoretically into a new mathematical discipline. This will distinguish systems analysis of the 21st century from its forerunner. The new mathematical discipline may have its own axiomatics. The methodology of the present systems analysis is mostly based on classical mathematical tools, created independently of the systems research. Advanced Systems Analysis (ASA) in the 21st century will create its own methodological mathematical base, especially developed to serve practical (applied) System Analysis (SA). This will be an important step to understanding what the subject of the SA is. MORE INFORMATION: https://sa2015.iiasa.ac.at/

• published: 12 Nov 2015
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