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Australian dollar hits six-year low on back of poor retail figures

Date

Kevin Buckland

The Aussie dollar fell as low as 75.09 cents, a level unseen since May 2009.

The Aussie dollar fell as low as 75.09 cents, a level unseen since May 2009. Photo: Glenn Hunt

Australia's dollar dropped to a six-year low on signs of sluggish consumer spending and after iron ore prices slid the most in two months.

The Aussie fell for a third day against the US dollar, the longest streak in a month, as data showed retail sales rose 0.3 per cent in May from the previous month, compared with the median economist estimate for 0.5 per cent growth. It's down versus 12 of its 16 major peers this week.

"The economy is still struggling to make that transition from mining-led growth to other forms of growth," said Joseph Capurso, a strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. "That is just going to keep bearing down on the Aussie."

The Australian dollar slumped 1.6 per cent to 75.15 US cents as of 4:14 p.m. London time, after falling as low as 75.09 cents, a level unseen since May 2009. It slumped 1.8 per cent to 92.21 yen, after being at 92.09, the weakest level since April 21.

The decline in the Aussie will be welcome news for Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens who has called for a weaker currency to stimulate economic growth. The 1.8 per cent decline this week wiped out a 1.3 per cent gain in the three months ended June 30, the first quarterly gain in a year.

In a December media interview, Stevens said 75 cents was a more appropriate level. The RBA has also sought to reduce the attractiveness of the Australian dollar by cutting its cash benchmark rate by 2.75 per centage points since late 2011 to a record low 2 per cent. That still leaves it above every other developed-nation peer except for New Zealand.

Iron ore with 62 per cent content delivered to Qingdao, China slid 0.7 per cent to $55.26 a dry metric ton on Friday, falling for a seventh day, according to Metal Bulletin Ltd. The price has dropped 11 per cent this week.

"Things could get ugly" for the Aussie, National Bank of Canada analysts including Toronto-based managing director of foreign exchange Jack Spitz, wrote in an e-mailed note. A break below 75 cents would highlight 72.70 cents, they wrote.

Bloomberg

42 comments so far

  • Well, at least I converted some of my cash while the going was still relatively good. I guess even I wasn't pessimistic/ realistic enough about the performance of the current mob of fools in Canberra.

    Commenter
    Party Stooge
    Date and time
    July 04, 2015, 8:30AM
    • How does this rubbish comment get printed? No doubt because it derides the Abbott Govt. Why publish such absolute nonsense when every RBA meeting, every comment from the RBA Gov and every comment from every economists says the $AUD has been too high, for too long and needs to be at .75 US cents.
      Meanwhile in the real world.

      Commenter
      enough is enough
      Date and time
      July 04, 2015, 10:21AM
    • eie. Take off your rose coloured glasses and get real for once. I am a trader and I have never, repeat never seen the ASX in such a bad state and it is all because of the bad retail and business sediment and why is this so, well I can tell you one thing since this hopeless mob have been in power everything has turned to crap.

      Commenter
      Jason
      Location
      Gold Coast
      Date and time
      July 04, 2015, 11:43AM
    • eie, I have often wondered the same thing about your comments. They rarely if ever have any relevance to the article and instead just attack anything Labor or less than far right wing.

      Commenter
      Musashi
      Date and time
      July 04, 2015, 12:22PM
  • So we're now working on an entirely theoretical economy, eh? Sounds familiar. When the dollar was high, we didn't pay down debt, we didn't acquire anything much of note, and the real cost of living went right up. When the dollar went down, we got Trump moving in to AIG using the cheaper AUD as a working tool. We import so much stuff that a weak dollar will mean we pay so much more for imports. Balance of trade? Not worth a mention, apparently. We don't collect revenue from anyone with an offshore place to send money, and that's OK, too, because revenue doesn't form part of RBA policy. We give away a fantastic trading position for a "more tourists/cheaper goods" approach, whether we actually make any goods or whether the tourists actually come or not. Commodities are down, but that's preferable to doing anything about it. Everyone makes money but Australia. Exactly whose side is the RBA on? I can see a time when people have to live on press releases and build houses out of them, at this rate.

    Commenter
    Paul Wallis
    Location
    Sydney
    Date and time
    July 04, 2015, 8:35AM
    • Keep dumbing dowm the $Aus, Reserve Bank...we all want to be Greece...not!!!!!

      Commenter
      Paul
      Location
      Chirnside Park
      Date and time
      July 04, 2015, 8:44AM
      • A low dollar to stimuate the economy? the main industries in Aus sell in USD..how does it make it more attractive to be buying Australian when the dollar is low? still more people are leaving Aus shores that are coming in.. and Australians will be spending more overseas than visitors to this country.

        They act on what was not what is or is going to be..

        Commenter
        WHat is or going to be
        Date and time
        July 04, 2015, 8:47AM
        • A low aussie dollar means a bigger profit for companies selling in USD, take gold miners for instance without a low aussie dollar they would all have gone bust by now.

          It's not a matter of selling more it's a matter of getting more for what you sell.

          Commenter
          thunder
          Date and time
          July 04, 2015, 9:31AM
        • If you sell in USD you can decrease your price making your products more attractive to overseas buyers. You can still make the same amount of money in AUD when you convert from USD back to AUD.........it's called simple Maths.

          Commenter
          Peter
          Location
          Southbank
          Date and time
          July 04, 2015, 9:53AM
      • we are once again being screwed.............

        Commenter
        thomas vesely
        Date and time
        July 04, 2015, 9:16AM

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