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TC
#Chapala (135kt) progged to intensify to 145kt cat-5, one of the strongest storms on record for the Arabian Sea. pic.twitter.com/JywmQQdAvi
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Extremely dangerous TC
#Chapala in Arabian Sea nearing cat-5 intensity. Max 1-min winds 135kt. pic.twitter.com/gTwQRzApcx
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At 06Z JTWC has assessed intensity of
#TC Chapala at 135 kt, pressure 922 hPa. Just shy of cat-5 intensity. pic.twitter.com/Nz77Np7Zz8
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Satellite intensity estimates creeping toward T6.5. TC
#Chapala solid cat-4 on Saffir–Simpson scale. Wind 120kt. pic.twitter.com/BeuBHh92H0
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Impacts from Arabian Sea TC look to be from northern Somalia to Yemen and Oman. Track/intensity still uncertain. pic.twitter.com/ikM3hqy9uw
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Developing TC in the Arabian Sea continues to organize. Excellent outflow presentation on satellite. pic.twitter.com/ZuElIGpgBu
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Training showers and thunderstorms across southern France. Over 125 mm (5.00 in) in some areas. Flooding likely. pic.twitter.com/vvvatr2raO
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Evolving Arabian Sea TC sitting in zone of low VWS & exceptional dual channel outflow. Very favorable environment. pic.twitter.com/yAkDz8SnLd
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Dynamical guidance possibly overdone w/ intensity - nevertheless, dangerous TC may impact Yemen, Oman &/or Somalia. pic.twitter.com/cHLvv3yMfu
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ECMWF ingests over 3.6 million pieces of data, including over 1.5 million satellite soundings. pic.twitter.com/rOQjD00jLE
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Several disturbances amid anomalous active IO convection. Some concern 94A may pose threat to Somalia, Oman/Yemen. pic.twitter.com/bLxMZH3myE
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As IO convection associated with MJO persists, high global AAM is progged to fall for first time in months. pic.twitter.com/OxFLBr4omj
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As MJO builds over the Indian Ocean, a destructive interference pattern evolves in Nino signal. pic.twitter.com/1GPyQ2WzG9
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Atmospheric Nino forcing waning next few weeks as convection in IO takes over the show. Don't worry, it'll be back. pic.twitter.com/wHk86lbRxQ
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This date back in 2010, one of the strongest extratropical cyclones in recorded CONUS history spun over Minnesota. pic.twitter.com/TRtKnFZepq
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European blocking eventually leads to amplified wave number 4 pattern over NH, including large SE US ridge. pic.twitter.com/CBwllAE0LM
Maglaro
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Major anticyclonic wave break over eastern Europe beginning around day 4 will lead to significant blocking pattern. pic.twitter.com/g7UR7qf59E
Maglaro
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Lot's of low cloud/fog across Europe this morning. pic.twitter.com/DMHvn9MEww
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Major dust storm moving through northern Saudi Arabia. 40 kt winds and 1/16 mile vis. pic.twitter.com/b4Fl9aC9Tt
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Remnants of Patricia have been absorbed into baroclinic low off Texas coast. Gale-force winds over NW Gulf. pic.twitter.com/ejLM0bukO1
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Anthony Sagliani
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