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William Hartung

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Foreign Policy by Platitude

Posted: 10/09/2012 6:06 pm

Yesterday's foreign policy speech by Mitt Romney was the worst of both worlds -- shallow rhetoric followed by a few ill-considered specifics.

On the rhetorical front, we learned that candidate Romney supports a "freer, more prosperous and more peaceful world"; believes in showing "resolve"; and would promote "freedom and opportunity." Who wouldn't?

Former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright rightly dismissed Romney's speech as "full of platitudes," further noting that "peace through strength is not really a foreign policy."

This is not to suggest that Romney said nothing. He made a few disconnected promises that reinforced the point that he has no viable strategy for addressing 21st-century challenges.

Romney would arm the Syrian opposition, but only the good guys, as if it was possible to tightly control the final destination of U.S. weapons poured into the midst of a chaotic civil war. We tried that in Afghanistan, where U.S. covert arms supplies were siphoned off and used to arm a new generation of terrorists while providing a breeding ground for Al Qaeda. Sending heavy arms to Syria would indeed mark a break from Obama administration policy, but Romney seems blissfully unaware of the risks involved.

On Iran, Romney promised to tighten sanctions, station more combat ships in the area, and move to prevent Iran from developing the capability to build nuclear weapons, as opposed to the weapons themselves. The latter position tracks closely with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's "red line" for military action against Iran. At a minimum, it appears that Romney would stand back and watch Israel launch its own attack on Iran without lifting a finger to persuade Israeli leaders of the potentially disastrous consequences of such a move. Even worse, Romney might launch a U.S. attack in conjunction with Israel, in part because he wants "no daylight" between U.S. and Israeli policies.

Romney further noted that there would be "no flexibility with Vladimir Putin" over U.S. missile defenses in Europe. Failure to even discuss possible adjustments in an anti-missile system will simply stymie efforts towards further nuclear arms reductions on the road to their complete elimination, an outcome that should be a central goal of U.S. foreign policy. And Romney's view, stated elsewhere, that Russia is a dangerous adversary will not bode well for efforts to meet one of his other foreign policy goals, tighter sanctions on Iran, which will depend upon Russian cooperation.

The final pillar of Romney's counterproductive "tough guy" posture is his pledge to "roll back" what he describes as President Obama's "deep and arbitrary cuts" in Pentagon spending. It's not clear which "cuts" Romney is referring to. The Obama administration's current plan, which has been inaccurately described as a program of substantial cuts, is in fact a leveling off of spending at current, historically high levels. Obama's plan only makes "cuts" if compared with the Pentagon's bloated wish list.

It is possible that Romney is referring to the impacts on Pentagon of sequestration, the imposition of across-the-board reductions in discretionary spending that would be triggered if Congress and the president fail to agree on a substantial deficit reduction package. The first problem with this statement is that the reductions required under sequestration are not "Obama's." They are the result of a compromise between the White House and Congress, voted for by such Republican luminaries as House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) and Republican vice-presidential candidate Paul Ryan (R-WI).

As for the budgetary impact of sequestration, it would reduce Pentagon spending levels, but the reductions would be far less than in any other post-World War II defense build-down. Spending would remain well above the post-World War II average, at about the same levels that prevailed during the second term of the George W. Bush administration -- a very good year for the Pentagon.

Romney is right on one point. The across-the-board cuts imposed by sequestration are a terrible way to manage a build-down; they would prevent policy makers from eliminating ineffective, wasteful, and unnecessary programs while maintaining or increasing investment in programs that work. But reductions of the size that would be required under sequestration are perfectly manageable, and could actually increase our security, if properly implemented. Real reductions could force the military to set priorities and weed out wasteful, unnecessary projects.

Last but not least is Romney's pledge to build 15 ships a year, including three submarines. This could require increasing the Navy budget by up to one-third. And all of this for a navy that former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates has noted is already larger than the next 13 navies in the world combined, many of which belong to U.S. allies.

Risking war with Iran, pouring weapons into Syria, undermining nuclear arms control and increasing Pentagon spending are dangerous and counterproductive policies that will not prepare the United States to deal with the new challenges of the 21st century. Nor will chanting magic words like "resolve."

William D. Hartung is the director of the Arms and Security Project at the Center for International Policy and the author of Prophets of War: Lockheed Martin and the Making of the Military-Industrial Complex.

 
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15 hours ago ( 4:14 AM)
Did the Administration deter Iranian influence in Lebanon? No. Hezbollah took over the country. Did it curtail Iranian influence in Palestinian politics? No. Hamas took over Gaza in 2007. Did it deter Iran from turning Iraq into its satellite? No. Did it deter Iran from meddling in Bahrain? No. Did it deter Iran from assisting Assad stay in power in Syria? No. Did it deter Iran from establishing a presence in its backyard, in Venezuela, and penetrating Latin America? No

.Deterrence works only if threats to use force are credible. Iran paused its nuclear program when the US attacked Iraq in 2003. Unfortunately US President Barack Obama is not feared – with good reason. He is viewed in the Middle East by friends and foes of the US alike as a lightweight.. Obviously the Europeans hardly instill any fear in Tehran. The Tehran zoo provides a good picture of how ostriches behave.
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HUFFPOST PUNDIT
realitytrumpsbull
two 'alves of coconut!
20 hours ago (10:58 PM)
Oil in Iraq, gold in Afghanistan. What's in Syria?
2 hours ago ( 5:24 PM)
Russian naval base.
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studioh!
bridging the snarchasm
12:48 PM on 10/10/2012
this speech was made to the adoring crowd in white dress uniforms. pass the collection plates...

we don't need a President Platitude, thank you.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Soulmentor
"To thine own self be true...."
11:39 AM on 10/10/2012
Platitudes is the first thing that came to my mind when listening to him. My thought was that everything he was SAYING, President Obama is already DOING and has been all along.

What does it say about the American electorate that such a blatant fraud can actually get this far in our politics?
24 hours ago ( 7:25 PM)
Hartung said what i have been thinking since I heard R's "speech." There is no logic to it.

Ramping up shipbuilding? Other than the jobs, it is an absurd statement on its face. Where does the number "3 new submarines" come from? As pointed out in the piece, we already have a Navy larger than the net 13 countries ** combined **.

What war is he preparing for [other than Iran] Who will fight this battle? And where will his sons and grandsons be while it is being fought.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
phoenixdoglover
My dog loves my progressive treats agenda
10:56 AM on 10/10/2012
I don't think Romney knows much about foreign policy. I think he is fed this stuff by his advisers and is perfectly willing to go along. That scares the heck out of me. As for Obama? I will be fine if he gets us out of Afghanistan, avoids unilateral warmongering, and pushes for a cap to military spending in peacetime. Ah, peacetime. Now there's a unique concept abandoned by the right wing.
24 hours ago ( 7:27 PM)
We did see the benefits of a peacetime economy in the Clinton years.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
webbandit
USAF Veteran
10:34 AM on 10/10/2012
Come to think about it a broadened Syrian war front would give Netanyahu an excuse to go further beyond the already annexed Golan heights,land grab extravaganza!
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Lost Rights
Conventions - "a police state-like fortress."
10:33 AM on 10/10/2012
Thing is, Romney is going for the option to 'fool most of the people some of the time'.
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HUFFPOST COMMUNITY MODERATOR
phoenixdoglover
My dog loves my progressive treats agenda
10:58 AM on 10/10/2012
That "some of the time" appears to be the last 4 weeks of the campaign. The Etch-a-Sketch is getting a daily shake.
10:18 AM on 10/10/2012
"Resolve" is code for making war. "Freedom and opportunity" are code words for promoting U.S. financial interests.
01:02 AM on 10/10/2012
What is wrong with Romney's aggressive policy of arming the Syrian rebels? It is another step in the direction of intervention which is already too far along. The exchange of artillery rounds between Syria and Turkey and the possible intervention of NATO with its Article 5 collective security obligations is dangerously close to war in this dangerous region. Hey, Syria has a long border not just with Turkey but with Iraq and Lebanon as well not to mention Israel.
07:47 AM on 10/10/2012
Another problem is that Romney has no foreign policy experience and his party has some superhawks like Lieberman, McCain, and Graham in the Senate. All three have advocated intervention in Syria which has a good size army. Though no match for the US military, Syria is still a dangerous country in a dangerous region. The size and density of the Syrian population guarantees lots of dead civilians as well as Syrian army officers and soldiers.
08:39 AM on 10/10/2012
Please explain why the US should be required to send troops to every conflict zone in the world?
08:51 PM on 10/09/2012
Mitt is trying - in a very-foot-in-his-mouth-way - to appeal to as many views as he can get away with; I think he might find that the rest of the world, that part that doesn't despise him already, will come to ignore his statements since they're extremely inconsistent, & have to deal with the monsters behind him, & these monsters will have immense sway since their figurehead will hardly disagree with them.

I think, if Mitt succeeds, that the US public will look back on the Bush-Cheney years as a period of rationality and good sense. Obama hasn't really done much apologising for his predecessor; he should have. The thought of Mitt arguing with Russia or China or Europe or the Middle East is surreal; most of the World-at-Large is not as compliant or as easily manipulated as the US media; plus, they do not like the United States.
2 hours ago ( 5:19 PM)
This very worrisome. Which is why the remaining three presidential and vp debates are so important. Lots at stake as was the case in the 2000 election when the country took the wrong turn.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
2pence
ignorance should not be contagious
08:45 PM on 10/09/2012
Romney has already set about insulting and condescending to the other nations of the world. Even they do not want him as part of the international cabal of leaders. Bringing a war mentality brings war and the world see that war is destablizing and destructive. A war with Iran would have devastating global consequences and no nation is going to idly let that happen as the middle east is a major oil supplier to all. Romney would erode America's credibility internationally.
07:52 PM on 10/09/2012
You lost me when you suggested that we are somehow on the road to the complete elimination of nuclear weapons.
24 hours ago ( 7:34 PM)
One of Obama's first orders of business was to negotiate a strategic arms reduction policy. How is it hard to see that path?
07:42 PM on 10/09/2012
Right because Obama never uses platitudes with "hope and change" clearly not being a platitude at all. No, the reality is that politicians use platitudes all the time, that's to be expected. What matters is results and the president's foreign policy has yielded bad ones. An Iran closer and closer to nuclear weapons, a Syrian regime that is carrying out mass murder in the streets, a weakned U.S- Israel relationship, and an emboldened Russia.
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HUFFPOST SUPER USER
Nicholas Kocal
12:08 AM on 10/10/2012
Sorry but it will take more than four years to clean up the mess that Bush and company made when the destabilized the Mideast when the invaded Iraq.
02:16 AM on 10/10/2012
First of all stability is not the holy grail with totalitarian societies often being "stable." Secondly, Bush and company couldn't have went to war without the support of the Congress including the majority of Senate Democrats including... oh that's right... Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden. Look, I can understand opposing the war- many good people did and I hardly consider myself an enthusiastic, unreserved supporter- but if you're going to say it was a massive mistake you can't just blame it on Bush.
06:56 AM on 10/10/2012
What exactly do you think Obama should do in Syria and Iran? Attack them both and cause the price of oil to double?

I think Syria should be bombed into submission, but Iran is a totally different ball of wax. All hell will break loose if we attack Iran.

Turkey should take care of Syria, but they don't want to. They can handle the border skirmishes though. Let them bomb the Syrian army. Syria will stop the artillery fire when Turkey forces them to. They are getting their F 16's ready to deal with the Syrians.

The Russians are another complication for the rest of the world to deal with. They are on Assad's side.

Obama can't attack Syria because we would have to clean up after it's all over. Giving weapons to potential Islamic radicals isn't a good idea either.

If Syria is going to be taken care of by NATO or the US, Assad's regime has to be finished off and the country has to be stabilized. That could take years. We have enough problems in Afghanistan.

I think 1 war at a time is a good policy. Better not to have any wars, but if we aren't pulling out of Afghanistan, we might as well concentrate our efforts there. Iran is not even close to making a nuclear weapon. It's all a bunch of hype from the press. They will probably make a dud like North Korea did.
HUFFPOST SUPER USER
maoticamison
10:35 AM on 10/10/2012
Aahhh...sanity is so refreshing.All these complainants and no one will actually suggest anything at all as a solution to these "problems".Because they are difficult...and they are long term.Internal solutions are what we can hope for, and barring that we can plan on dealing with more bodies and more war criminals...as always.
12:48 PM on 10/10/2012
So what I would say is that Senator McCain's proposal for using our air power to protect major population centers and using airstrikes to take out the Assad death machine is the right one. Twenty thousand people have died as we have sat back. That's not leadership. As for Iran, we should be supporting the oppositon, announcing that we will no longer deal with a regime that sponsors terrorism and subjugates its people. We should provide them with all the resources they require, including weapons if need be, to overthrow the Ayatollahs. I don't want to bomb the nuclear sites either but the alternative- a nuclear armed Islamist theocracy- is worse. It could take years but the Syrian people matter, like all people do, so we should put in the effort.
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Freenation
07:07 PM on 10/09/2012
Romney is so much fascinated with Israel that he wants no daylight, he raises money in Israel for campaign, he cashes check from Adelson who feels sorry for not able to serve in IDF and is also target of federal investigation (his company) , calls Bibi his friend and wants to outsource ME policy to him..,if this is the level of love then why doesn't he apply for a honorary Israeli citizenship after all his friend Bibi will oblige...
06:42 PM on 10/09/2012
This administration's entire foreign policy has been platitudes. Oh yeah, except where they waffled on their campaign promises and continued Bush-era policies.
08:26 PM on 10/09/2012
That word, platitudes. I do not think it means what you think it means.
-Inigo
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maoticamison
10:37 AM on 10/10/2012
Hhahaha...like the character in Wonderland..."it means..."