Archive for September, 2009

Economic Policy: Time To Look Out

The Independent Review of Economic Policy was commissioned in 2008 and its report, published today, calls for a single “Department of the Economy” to be established.  This makes obvious sense.  Other conclusions from the report – that in many circles might be referred to as obvious common sense – stress the need for “greater support for innovation, research and development and exports.”

InvestNI has reacted to the report by stating that it, too, has been arguing for these changes.  Good.  Perhaps everyone is now singing off the same sheet.  There would also seem to be a realistic prospect that some of the changes might be implemented given Sinn Fein’s indifference to any policy discussions that can’t be steered in the direction of Irish “culture”. 

InvestNI clearly needs to broaden its offering and fix on the real opportunities that exist in this tiny economy.  Many have questioned the fixation on call centre jobs over the years.  Meanwhile, emerging clusters of much-needed high technology start-ups have been sustained despite rather than because of local resources.  But we need many more clusters to grow out of the existing ones: enterprise software, digital content and application development, pharma and biotech – as well as CleanTech.

The venture capital market, locally, is miniscule and much too dependent on public money.  Local entrepreneurs are far too reluctant to look to other VC markets – and are often not encouraged to do so given a natural tendency for departments and agencies to focus on jobs rather than wealth creation. 

VCs are too keen to keep investment local rather than actively pursuing state-side flips to allow access to US capital markets.

But perhaps, now, we will see genuine refocusing on IP-rich, innovative companies that have real prospects for global growth and expansion.

Sammy Wilson and Northern Ireland’s Budget Crisis

In a post last week I asked how it could be that the current Executive was silent on the subject of budget cuts.  And now Sammy Wilson has finally got round to sitting down with a few civil servants who have told him that such cuts are inevitable. 

The sheer incompetence and mismanagement being exhibited by the Executive is jaw-dropping.  Jumped-up “Ministers” swagger around in their ministerial limos completely disassociated from real-world government logic.  But now the truth must be dawning on the Northern Ireland electorate that most of the people they have elected and put into office are systematically useless. 

And why are they useless?  Because they have little or no skills required to govern – and because most of them have been so immersed in sectarian bickering that they have lost the ability to think about and resolve real world problems like balancing budgets.

The DUP, for example, made election commitments to defer water charges.  Why?  It makes no practical sense to defer charges for services that are provided and infrastructure that’s needed.  Now, given the monstrous hole in the budget, it’s becoming clear that water charges are back on the table.  And so they should be.  They should have been on the table during election time.  But so intent were lazy politicians to get elected they promised anything.  They duped the electorate.  Because I’ll bet you this – I’ll bet that no-one in the DUP actually sat down and did the sums.  I’ll bet that no-one actually asked the question, “What will the consequences be of us deferring these charges on the rest of the budget?”

Now, of course, we’re in a deep recession.  Our workforce is heavily dependent on the public purse for employment – as are other less developed regions of the UK.  Whatever government is elected next year will commit to significant and deep public spending cuts – and that will affect the block grant. 

Therefore, a major structural root and branch review of our budget is required – not merely adding water charges back on the table.  Oh and that review should also address whether there is any demand for the devolution of policing and justice – given the fact that it’s going to cost an arm and a leg. 

Northern Ireland is facing a major crisis.  Something needs to be done – but one thing’s for sure.  Sammy Wilson is not the solution.

Ian Parsley in the Telegraph

Ian Parsley continues to do good political stuff since his defection from the Alliance to the Conservatives.  I am especially heartened by the fact that he refers to his new Party as the Conservative Party – making no reference to the crazy auntie in the attic – the UUP.  Read his piece in the Belfast Telegraph. 

The Conservative Party is the Party he joined – not the conjoined mish-mash that the UUP likes to spin.  It was notable that Ian chose to join the Conservatives – a Party that, increasingly, represents right of centre but socially liberal thinking.  And I’m pretty sure that’s why he made the choice that he did.

The fact that the Conservative Party (and not the dog’s dinner UCUNF) is sufficiently appealing to young and forward thinking politicians like Ian shows that the Conservative offer here is enough in its own right.  Increasingly the UUP is side-lining itself and its relevance. 

The Conservative Party is in the ascendancy in the United Kingdom and, increasingly, in Northern Ireland.  It’s about time that it made this more clear to its UUP “partner”.  I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again.  The UUP is Utterly, Utterly Pointless if the Conservative Party is active and campaigning here.

Cuts and Ulster

I watched Nick Robinson on last night’s 10 O’Clock News and he was explaining how odd it seemed that the various Party leaders – Conservative, Labour and LibDem – were trying to outdo each other in terms of their readiness for cuts.  Gordon didn’t just say the ‘C’ word once in his speech to the TUC yesterday, he said it time after time in rapid succession. 

Meanwhile, what about here?  Which politicians, here, are talking about cuts?

The public sector accounts for 63% of the economy of Northern Ireland, which is substantially higher than 43% of the United Kingdom as a whole. In total, the British government subvention totals around £5,000m, or 20% of Northern Ireland’s economic output.

Now, if all the political parties that aspire to form the next UK government are talking about cuts it kinda figures that this is bound to have an impact on that part of the United Kingdom that most depends on the public sector.  If the public sector is the biggest employer here, and the cuts are to the public sector, then one would think that politicians here would be bracing themselves – and planning for a new world order. 

Surely it would be appropriate that money wasting nonsense like the devolution of policing and justice should be taken off the political agenda.  After all the effect of squandering of the block grant in this way will result, inevitably, in greater cuts to healthcare or education. 

The fact is that our local political parties are incapable of having a sensible discussion about budgetary allocations and strategic planning.  Instead of participating in the national debate about how we get out of the unholy economic mess we’re in, they seem even more determined to condemn Northern Ireland, forever, to its status as a Potemkin economy.

Ian Parsley Defects from Alliance and Joins Tories

Tim Lewis (Right) welcomes Ian Parsley to the Conservatives

Tim Lewis (Right) welcomes Ian Parsley to the Conservatives

The Conservative Party today announced that Councillor Ian Parsley has resigned from the Alliance Party and joined the Conservatives.

Tim Lewis, Chairman of the Conservatives in Northern Ireland, said: “We are delighted to welcome Ian to our Party. Ian is determined to continue his hard work on North Down Council where he will sit as a Conservative. This move once again shows the growing appeal of the Conservatives throughout Northern Ireland.”

Shadow Secretary of State for Northern Ireland, Owen Paterson said: “The mood for change in Northern Ireland is very strong. I am delighted that Ian Parsley, who is a rising star of the new generation of Northern Ireland politicians, has decided to join David Cameron’s Conservative Party in order to help bring Northern Ireland into mainstream UK politics.”

Commenting on his move Ian Parsley said: “Having given significant thought to the future of Northern Ireland I came to the conclusion that, with a General Election pending, the best means of delivering a shared future and a genuinely new type of politics would be through David Cameron’s Conservative Party.”

 

Libya, Oil and Cynical Government

In recent years our relationship with Libya has been fundamentally transformed…They are an essential partner in the fight against terrorism and it is in the UK’s interests for this co-operation to continue.  Gordon Brown in a letter to the IRA Victims’ Lawyer

I always find it remarkable how, in diplomatic circles, terrorists one minute can be transformed into opponents of terror the next.  The redemption of Libya has been rapid.  Previously the basket-case of the Middle East, Libya was welcomed into the diplomatic fold by Tony Blair while Saddam and Iran were being excommunicated.  Gordon Brown and George Bush continued the process of diplomatic normalisation for a state that has done little to change its colours.

We all know that this is all to do with oil supplies – and nothing at all to do with any sea-change in outlook or behaviour on the part of Colonel Gaddafi.  Libyan oil production was 1.8 million barrels per day in 2006, giving Libya over 60 years of reserves at current production rates if no new reserves were to be found.  Even better, Libyan oil is cheap to extract and easily transported to Europe.

Previously when economic sanctions were in place against Libya – and when Libya, in return, bank-rolled and armed the IRA – finding and bringing to production new oil fields was severely hampered.  Libya needs the expertise of Western oil companies – just as Western oil companies depend on Libya. 

The oil companies also mix in high places and have advisers with clout.  For Tony Blair it would have been a little too obvious for him to have taken a high paying executive role with one of the major oil companies.  Instead he has accepted a part-time role as a senior adviser to the Wall Street bank JP Morgan Chase. 

On November 26th last year JP Morgan put out a media statement stating that, “The expansion of our global physical capabilities in oil represents a clear commitment to our clients. It demonstrates that we are looking to partner with them on a much more strategic level by offering them tailored end-to-end solutions, linking their physical activities with their risk management objectives,” said Roy Salame, head of Global Oil Marketing. “Most importantly, our physical capabilities have leveled the competitive landscape and provided our sales force with a critical new tool to significantly grow market share.”

It has been reported that JP Morgan agreed to pay Mr Blair a package worth $1m for his “advice”.  It’s also convenient that Mr Blair also happens to the Peace Envoy to the Middle East on behalf of the the US, EU, UN and Russia – collectively representing the biggest oil producers in the world.

According to the U.S. Department of State’s annual human rights report for 2007, Libya’s authoritarian regime continued to have a poor record in the area of human rights.  Some of the numerous and serious abuses on the part of the government include poor prison conditions, arbitrary arrest, and political prisoners held for many years without charge or trial. The judiciary is controlled by the government, and there is no right to a fair public trial. Libyans do not have the right to change their government. Freedom of speech, press, assembly, association, and religion are restricted. Independent human rights organizations are prohibited. Ethnic and tribal minorities suffer discrimination, and the state continues to restrict the labor rights of foreign jobs.

Meanwhile those who suffered the consequences of Libya’s cynical use of terrorist organisations to bust oil sanctions – people in Northern Ireland and Great Britain who suffered as a result of Libyan actions – are to be side-lined in the government’s plans to embed Western oil companies in Libya.  This must, surely, be cynical government at its worse.

A New Generation of Gaelic Speakers?

The Scottish Government today announced that it would be spending more money on Gaelic medium education in order to create “a new generation of gaelic speakers”. 

What an utter waste of money.  Surely ‘educating’ children to speak Gaelic is disadvantaging them.  Time invested by children learning a language that next to no-one speaks for daily discourse is, in my view, a form a child abuse.  Surely it would be more appropriate to focus more funds on the teaching of mathematics or the teaching of the scientific method.

We are fortunate to live in an English speaking society.  English is one of the world’s most important languages.  It is the language of science.  It is the language of air traffic control.  It is the language in which the world’s fastest growing economies are investing educational resources.  And yet the SNP (and Sinn Fein) want to invest more money into educating children in a language that is irrelevant. 

That’s not to say that people who have an interest in quaint minority languages shouldn’t learn them.  But surely governments should be encouraging activities that increase children’s life chances.  Gaelic medium schools are a step in the wrong direction.

Candidates and Co-Operation

I gather that the Conservatives are stepping up a gear in in an effort to select Westminster candidates soon.  By ‘soon’ I mean by end of September in certain constituencies.  That’s not the end of the road, however.  Candidates put forward have to then be blessed by the “joint committee” and that means that Conservative candidates will be jostling for position against UUP dead-wood. 

Now, one would think that modern-minded, articulate and UK-minded Conservative candidates would always win out against backward looking, history obsessed little Ulster candidates.  But, unfortunately, the joint committee has some daft eejits on the UUP side – logic kinda flaps out the window at joint committee meetings. 

That said, I’m hopeful that the UUPers will be scraping the barrel to muster their talent.  I suppose Basil McCrea will want a crack at Lagan Valley – but it’s highly unlikely he’d put a good showing in against wee Jeffrey (despite in-room-moviegate). 

However I’m salivating at the show that’s about to unfold across the target constituencies.  Will the joint committee crack under the strain?  Will the Conservatives be able to get through the selection process without losing all faith in the “project”?  We’ll see.  One thing is sure though – David Campbell and his cronies on the UUP side of this relationship bring very, very little to this party (note the small ‘p’).  They may point at UUP Party “organisation” and elected representatives.  But all I see is a single issue pressure group bereft of money, talent and vision – hoping like hell that the Conservatives will rescue it. 

The Conservatives still have the chance to walk away from this flawed relationship.  Owen Paterson and his team have political savvy, organisational skills and campaigning clout.  The last thing they need is a bunch of has-beens calling the shots and getting way beyond their station.  It’s time to move on.

Human Rights v Common Sense

Owen Polley over on Three Thousand Versts has picked up on Jeff Dudgeon’s wonderfully scathing analysis of the McCloskey Civil Rights Summer School – featuring an anti-Conservative and, from the sound of things, very defensive Monica McWilliams. 

The reason for the anti-Conservative hostility, of course, is the fact that Shadow Secretary of State, Owen Paterson, has been fabulously under-impressed with the Northern Ireland Human Rights Commission’s “majority” report – that argued the need for a Norn-Iron only version of a Bill of Rights. 

Owen has been much more publically supportive of the Minority report that showed much more common sense.  The likelihood is that the Conservatives will take a very dim view of regional “Rights Bills” being introduced in Northern Ireland or any other devolved region.  Indeed Dominic Grieve made that pretty much crystal clear during a recent visit.  Therefore Monica McWilliams is well out of step with reality and common sense.

However, that’s not the point I was intending to make.  The point arises from a comment made by Jeff in his report:  “Alasdair McDonnell, almost alone, spoke of the Bill of Rights proposal and said “the SDLP would not stand idly by” if it was deferred or unpicked.”

Such posturing by the SDLP and by Alasdair McDonnell is typical.  More than any other local political “Party” the SDLP has lost all touch with its constituency and the issues at issue.  The SDLP’s threats of “not standing idly by” are taken as read to be near certain pledges to stand idly by.  Lack of idling would hardly be that noteworthy in any case.  Alastair will huff and puff a bit – as is his tendency – and ignore issues that are really bothering his middle class voters – like the SDLP’s failure to take a stand on the issue of academic selection; or the SDLP’s abject failure to stand for anything other than ill-defined human rights. 

However, on the plus side, there must now be a real hope that Alastair and the SDLP can be unseated in South Belfast if only the Conservatives can select a candidate to appeal to constituents fed up with the fact that none of these “human rights merchants” have anything useful to offer in the way of real-world, practical politics.

Religion and Stamp Collecting

My last post about the inappropriateness of the new Chief Constable of the PSNI defining himself as a committed Christian resulted in quite a few comments and quite a few emails.  Most were supportive – although Mark Devenport was a little dismissive when he suggested that, “It’s a fair debating point, although given the level of church attendance here I can’t see too many people rushing to the barricades on this one.”

With respect to Mark, (and I have a great deal of respect for him), the stats don’t really back up his argument.

In Northern Ireland there is an accepted wisdom that it is perfectly OK for politicians, senior civil servants, anyone in public office, to spout off about their various religious beliefs.  The defence is that because we are a church-going society it’s somehow OK that people feel compelled to tell us about their bizarre world-views borne out of religious conviction.  Well, I beg to differ.

The majority of Northern Ireland’s adult population does, in fact, NOT attend church on a regular basis.  Church-going here is more popular than in other parts of the UK – but research by the Tear Fund shows that only 45% of people here attend church on a regular basis.  This, presumably, means that the majority of adults here are not regular attenders.  Indeed some 44% of NI respondents in the tear fund survey are either “de-churched” or “non-churched”.  In short, in Northern Ireland, there are as many people here who have little if any contact with any church as those who attend a church regularly.  Close to 1 in every 5 people here have no religion at all and are either Atheist or Agnostic. 

Therefore, if as many people here don’t attend church as do, and one in every 5 people of voting age have no faith, it’s surely appropriate to expect that our elected representatives should keep their personal views about religion out of the public domain.

That’s not to say that politicians or civil servants or senior policemen should not have views – or even moral dimensions – based on religious faith.  However, it is to say that they should not voice those views in a professional context.  They have a contractual responsibility – in representing all of society – to base their decisions on rationality and NOT doctrine or religious definitions of morality. 

Religion is a personal matter.  As Richard Dawkins said at last year’s Conservative Party conference, religion should be like stamp collecting or knitting – best done at home.


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Musings on things political and secular…

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