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King Cotton was a slogan used by southerners 1860-61 to support secession from the United States by arguing cotton exports would make an independent Confederacy economically prosperous, and—more important—would force Britain and France to support the Confederacy because their industrial economy depended on textiles, which depended on cotton. The slogan was successful in mobilizing support, as all seven of the states that raised large amount of cotton seceded by February 1861, but not the other eight slave states. To implement the diplomatic strategy the southerners refused to sell or ship out their cotton in early 1861, but by the summer the Union blockade shut down over 90% of exports. The Europeans had large stocks of cotton on hand and were not injured by the boycott, and did not intervene, so the strategy proved a failure for the Confederacy.
The insatiable European demand for cotton was a result of the Industrial Revolution. In Britain a series of inventions resulted in the mechanized spinning and weaving of cloth in the world’s first factories in the north of England. The ability of these factories to produce unprecedented amounts of cotton cloth revolutionized the world economy, but they needed raw cotton.
The invention of the cotton gin came just at the right time. British textile manufacturers were eager to buy all the cotton that the South could produce. The figures for cotton production support this conclusion: from 720,000 bales in 1830, to 2.85 million bales in 1850, to nearly 5 million in 1860. Cotton production renewed the need for slavery after the tobacco market declined in the late 18th century. The more cotton grown, the more slaves were needed, to keep up with the demand of cotton.
By 1860 on the eve of the American Civil War, cotton accounted for almost 60% of American exports, representing a total value of nearly $200 million a year.
Cotton's central place in the national economy and its international importance led Senator James Henry Hammond of South Carolina to make a famous boast in 1858:
Southerners thought their survival depended on the sympathy of Europe to offset the power of the Union. They believed that cotton was so essential to Europe that they would intervene in any civil war.
As the Union armies moved into cotton regions in 1862, the U.S. purchased all the cotton available, and sent it to the mills. Production of cotton increased in India by a factor of 700% and also in Egypt.
Surdam (1998) asks, "Did the world demand for American-grown raw cotton fall during the 1860s, even though total demand for cotton increased?" Previous researchers have asserted that the South faced stagnating or falling demand for its cotton. Surdam's more complete model of the world market for cotton, combined with additional data, shows that the reduction in the supply of American-grown cotton induced by the Civil War distorts previous estimates of the state of demand for cotton. In the absence of the drastic disruption in the supply of American-grown cotton, the world demand for such cotton would have remained strong.
Lebergott (1983) shows the South blundered during the war because it clung too long to faith in King Cotton. Because the South's long-range goal was a world monopoly of cotton, it devoted valuable land and slave labor to growing cotton instead of urgently needed foodstuffs.
In the end King Cotton proved a delusion that misled the South into a hopeless war.
Category:Economic history of the Confederate States of America Category:History of the Southern United States Category:Economic history of the American Civil War
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