Purchasing power parity (PPP) is a measure of long-term equilibrium exchange rates based on relative price levels of two countries. The idea originated with the School of Salamanca in the 16th century and was developed in its modern form by Gustav Cassel in 1918.. The concept is founded on the law of one price, the idea that in absence of transaction costs and official barriers to trade, identical goods will have the same price in different markets when the prices are expressed in terms of one currency.
In its "absolute" version, the purchasing power of different currencies is equalized for a given basket of goods. In the "relative" version, the difference in the rate of change in prices at home and abroad—the difference in the inflation rates—is equal to the percentage depreciation or appreciation of the exchange rate.
Deviations from the theory imply differences in purchasing power of a "basket of goods" across countries, which means that for the purposes of many international comparisons, countries' GDPs or other national income statistics need to be "PPP adjusted" and converted into common units. The best-known purchasing power adjustment is the Geary–Khamis dollar (the "international dollar"). The real exchange rate is then equal to the nominal exchange rate, adjusted for differences in price levels. If purchasing power parity held exactly, then the real exchange rate would always equal one. However, in practice the real exchange rates exhibit both short run and long run deviations from this value, for example due to reasons illuminated in the Balassa–Samuelson theorem.
There can be marked differences between purchasing power adjusted incomes and those converted via market exchange rates. For example, the World Bank's ''World Development Indicators 2005'' estimated that in 2003, one Geary-Khamis dollar was equivalent to about 1.8 Chinese yuan by purchasing power parity—considerably different from the nominal exchange rate. This discrepancy has large implications; for instance, when converted via the nominal exchange rates GDP per capita in India is about US$1,704.063 while on a PPP basis it is about US$3,608.196. This means that if calculated at nominal exchange rates, India has the tenth largest economy, while at PPP-adjusted rates, it has the fourth largest economy in the world. At the other extreme, Denmark's nominal GDP per capita is around US$62,100, but its PPP figure is only US$37,304.
Estimation of purchasing power parity is complicated by the fact that countries do not simply differ in a uniform price level; rather, the difference in food prices may be greater than the difference in housing prices, while also less than the difference in entertainment prices. People in different countries typically consume different baskets of goods. It is necessary to compare the cost of baskets of goods and services using a price index. This is a difficult task because purchasing patterns and even the goods available to purchase differ across countries. Thus, it is necessary to make adjustments for differences in the quality of goods and services. Additional statistical difficulties arise with multilateral comparisons when (as is usually the case) more than two countries are to be compared.
For example, in 2005 the price of a gallon of gasoline in Saudi Arabia was $0.91 USD, and in Norway the price was $6.27 USD. The significant differences in price wouldn't contribute to accuracy in a PPP analysis, despite all of the variables that contribute to the significant differences in price, such as Saudi Arabia having significant crude oil in its country and Norway not having stated resources. Further comparisons have to be made and utilized as variables in the overall formulation of the PPP.
When PPP comparisons are to be made over some interval of time, proper account needs to be made of inflationary effects.
The purchasing power parity theory states that the exchange rate between one currency and another currency is in equlibirium when their domestic purchasing powers at that rate of exchange are equivalent.
Example: -- Suppose that one USD is currently selling for ten Mexican Pesos (MXN) on the exchange rate market. In the US baseball bats selling for $40 while in Mexico they sell for 150 pesos. Since 1 USD = 10 MXN, then the bat costs 40 USD if we buy it in US but only 15 USD if we buy it in Mexico. Clearly, there's an advantage to buying the bat in Mexico, so consumers are much better off going to Mexico to buy their bats.
The following table, based on data from ''The Economist'''s 2004 calculations, shows the under (-) and over (+) valuation of the local currency according to the Starbucks tall latte index and the Big Mac index.
Country !! Starbucks tall latte index !! McDonald's Big Mac Index | ||
Australia | -4 | -17 |
Britain | +17 | |
Canada | -16 | |
China | -1 | |
Euro area | +33 | |
Hong Kong | +15 | |
Japan | +13 | |
Malaysia | -25 | |
Mexico | -15 | |
New Zealand | -12 | |
Singapore | +2 | |
South Korea | +6 | |
Switzerland | +62 | |
Taiwan | -5 | |
Thailand | -31 | |
Turkey | +6 |
Some aspects of PPP comparison are theoretically impossible or unclear. For example, there is no basis for comparison between the Ethiopian laborer who lives on teff with the Thai laborer who lives on rice, because teff is impossible to find in Thailand and vice versa, so the price of rice in Ethiopia or teff in Thailand cannot be determined. As a general rule, the more similar the price structure between countries, the more valid the PPP comparison.
PPP levels will also vary based on the formula used to calculate price matrices. Different possible formulas include GEKS-Fisher, Geary-Khamis, IDB, and the superlative method. Each has advantages and disadvantages.
Linking regions presents another methodological difficulty. In the 2005 ICP round, regions were compared by using a list of some 1,000 identical items for which a price could be found for 18 countries, selected so that at least two countries would be in each region. While this was superior to earlier "bridging" methods, which is not fully take into account differing quality between goods, it may serve to overstate the PPP basis of poorer countries, because the price indexing on which PPP is based will assign to poorer countries the greater weight of goods consumed in greater shares in richer countries.
Angus Deaton and Alan Heston have suggested that the discrepancy can be explained by the fact that the 2005 ICP examined only urban prices, which overstate the national price level for Asian countries, and also the fact that Asian countries adjusted for productivity across noncomparable goods such as government services, whereas non-Asian countries did not make such an adjustment. Each of these two factors, according to him, would lead to an underestimation of GDP by PPP of about 12%.
The PPP method is used as an alternative to correct for possible statistical bias. The Penn World Table is a widely cited source of PPP adjustments, and the so-called Penn effect reflects such a systematic bias in using exchange rates to outputs among countries.
For example, if the value of the Mexican peso falls by half compared to the U.S. dollar, the Mexican Gross Domestic Product measured in dollars will also halve. However, this exchange rate results from international trade and financial markets. It does not necessarily mean that Mexicans are poorer by a half; if incomes and prices measured in pesos stay the same, they will be no worse off assuming that imported goods are not essential to the quality of life of individuals. Measuring income in different countries using PPP exchange rates helps to avoid this problem.
PPP exchange rates are especially useful when official exchange rates are artificially manipulated by governments. Countries with strong government control of the economy sometimes enforce official exchange rates that make their own currency artificially strong. By contrast, the currency's black market exchange rate is artificially weak. In such cases a PPP exchange rate is likely the most realistic basis for economic comparison.
More processed and expensive products are likely to be tradable, falling into the second category, and drifting from the PPP exchange rate to the currency exchange rate. Even if the PPP "value" of the Ethiopian currency is three times stronger than the currency exchange rate, it won't buy three times as much of internationally traded goods like steel, cars and microchips, but non-traded goods like housing, services ("haircuts"), and domestically produced crops. The relative price differential between tradables and non-tradables from high-income to low-income countries is a consequence of the Balassa-Samuelson effect, and gives a big cost advantage to labour intensive production of tradable goods in low income countries (like Ethiopia), as against high income countries (like Switzerland). The corporate cost advantage is nothing more sophisticated than access to cheaper workers, but because the pay of those workers goes further in low-income countries than high, the relative pay differentials (inter-country) can be sustained for longer than would be the case otherwise. (This is another way of saying that the wage rate is based on average local productivity, and that this is below the per capita productivity that factories selling tradable goods to international markets can achieve.) An equivalent cost benefit comes from non-traded goods that can be sourced locally (nearer the PPP-exchange rate than the nominal exchange rate in which receipts are paid). These act as a cheaper factor of production than is available to factories in richer countries.
The Bhagwati-Kravis-Lipsey view provides a somewhat different explanation from the Balassa-Samuelson theory. This view states that price levels for nontradables are lower in poorer countries because of differences in endowment of labor and capital, not because of lower levels of productivity. Poor countries have more labor relative to capital, so marginal productivity of labor is greater in rich countries than in poor countries. Nontradables tend to be labor-intensive; therefore, because labor is less expensive in poor countries and is used mostly for nontradables, nontradables are cheaper in poor countries. Wages are high in rich countries, so nontradables are relatively more expensive.
PPP calculations tend to overemphasise the primary sectoral contribution, and underemphasise the industrial and service sectoral contributions to the economy of a nation.
Nontradables are primarily services and the output of the construction industry. Nontradables also lead to deviations in PPP because the prices of nontradables are not linked internationally. The prices are determined by domestic supply and demand, and shifts in those curves lead to changes in the market basket of some goods relative to the foreign price of the same basket. If the prices of nontradables rise, the purchasing power of any given currency will fall in that country.
The primary problem associated with this calculation lies in the fact that price indexes are weighted averages of prices, and both weights and prices could be incorrect. Individuals living at the poverty line may face prices that are different from the average national prices, but the ICP bases calculations on the average national prices. Furthermore, the expenditure patterns at the poverty line are substantially different from national expenditure patterns, and these expenditure patterns in the National Accounts provide the weights used for the consumption PPPs described by the ICP.
A recent study published in the ''American Economic Journal'' sought to address this issue by using poverty-weighted purchasing power parities, PPPPs or P4s. Household surveys are the distinguishing difference between P4s and P3s. The study found that the substitution of poverty weights for national accounts does not make a large difference to global poverty counts. It did find, however, that the method of calculating the global poverty line does make a large differences. When the global poverty line was calculated using the weighted average of fifty national poverty lines, the global poverty count was significantly lower than when the poverty lines from the fifteen poorest countries were used, which is the method used by the World Bank to calculate the global poverty line. Because the numbers of people in poverty are used as weights, this difference in outcomes based on calculation-method is explained by countries, such as India, with a large number of people living in poverty that are included in the fifty but not in the fifteen poorest. India has a large number of poor people and, by international standards, a low national poverty line. The global poverty line is much lower when India is included than when it is excluded.
The study explains dollars were not used to calculate poverty lines because the structure of advanced economies is different from the structure of economies where the global poor live. For this reason, rupees were more appropriate. The study makes recommendations to others who wish to make international comparisons of living standards for how to measure different indexes for the 2005 calendar year and also how to update these indexes when the results of the 2011 ICP become available. Among these recommendations include methods of converting rupees to dollars (which may be done because many people would want to read this information in terms of dollars).
Category:Economic indicators Category:Index numbers Category:International economics Category:Gross Domestic Product Category:Article Feedback Pilot
af:Koopkragpariteit ar:تعادل القدرة الشرائية az:Alıcılıq qabiliyyəti pariteti bn:ক্রয়ক্ষমতা সমতা bg:Паритет на покупателната способност ca:Paritat de poder adquisitiu cs:Parita kupní síly cy:Paredd gallu prynu da:Købekraftsparitet de:Kaufkraftparität dv:Purchasing Power Parity es:Paridad de poder adquisitivo fa:برابری قدرت خرید fr:Parité de pouvoir d'achat ga:Paireachtaí na Cumhachta Ceannaigh gl:Paridade de poder adquisitivo ko:구매력 평가 hr:Paritet kupovne moći id:Keseimbangan kemampuan berbelanja is:Kaupmáttarjöfnuður it:Teoria della parità dei poteri di acquisto he:שווי כוח הקנייה jv:Kaseimbangan kemampuan blanja ka:მსყიდველობითი უნარის პარიტეტი kk:Аларман қабілет тепетендігі lo:ກຳລັງຊື້ທຽບຖານ la:Par acquirendi potestas lv:Pirktspējas paritāte lt:Perkamosios galios paritetas hu:Vásárlóerő-paritás mk:Паритет на куповна моќ mr:क्रयशक्तीची समानता ms:Pariti kuasa beli nl:Koopkrachtpariteit ja:購買力平価説 no:Kjøpekraftsparitet nn:Kjøpekraftsparitet pl:Parytet siły nabywczej pt:Paridade do poder de compra ro:Paritatea puterii de cumpărare ru:Паритет покупательной способности sah:Атыылаhар кыах паритета simple:Purchasing Power Parity sk:Parita kúpnej sily (teoretický výmenný kurz) sr:Паритет куповне моћи fi:Ostovoimapariteetti sv:Köpkraftsparitet tl:Pagkakatulad ng lakas ng pagbili ta:கொள்வனவு ஆற்றல் சமநிலை th:ความเท่าเทียมกันของอำนาจซื้อ tr:Satın alma gücü paritesi uk:Паритет купівельної спроможності ur:مساوی قوتِ خرید vi:Sức mua tương đương zh:购买力平价This text is licensed under the Creative Commons CC-BY-SA License. This text was originally published on Wikipedia and was developed by the Wikipedia community.
If one's monetary income stays the same, but the price level increases, the purchasing power of that income falls. Inflation does not ''always'' imply falling purchasing power of one's money income since it may rise faster than the price level. A higher real income means a higher purchasing power since real income refers to the income adjusted for inflation.
For a price index, its value in the base year is usually normalized to a value of 100. The purchasing power of a unit of currency, say a dollar, in a given year, expressed in dollars of the base year, is 100/''P'', where ''P'' is the price index in that year. So, by definition the purchasing power of a dollar decreases as the price level rises. The purchasing power in today's money of an amount ''C'' of money, ''t'' years into the future, can be computed with the formula for the present value:
:
where in this case ''i'' is an assumed future annual inflation rate.
az:Alıcılıq qabiliyyəti be-x-old:Пакупніцкая здольнасьць bg:Покупателна способност cs:Kupní síla de:Kaufkraft (Konsum) et:Ostujõud el:Αγοραστική δύναμη es:Poder adquisitivo eo:Aĉetpovo fr:Pouvoir d'achat gl:Poder adquisitivo ko:구매력 is:Kaupmáttur it:Potere d'acquisto lt:Perkamoji galia hu:Vásárlóerő mk:Куповна моќ ms:Kuasa beli nl:Koopkracht no:Kjøpekraft pl:Siła nabywcza pt:Poder de compra ru:Покупательная способность simple:Purchasing power sk:Kúpna sila (mena) fi:Ostovoima sv:Köpkraft uk:Вартість грошей vi:Sức mua zh:購買力
This text is licensed under the Creative Commons CC-BY-SA License. This text was originally published on Wikipedia and was developed by the Wikipedia community.
Name | Paul Craig Roberts |
---|---|
Smallimage | Paul craig roberts.jpg |
Office | United States Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy |
Term start | 1981 |
Term end | 1982 |
President | Ronald Reagan |
Birth date | |
Birth place | Atlanta, Georgia |
Nationality | American |
Occupation | economist }} |
He has written or co-written eight books, contributed chapters to numerous books and has published many articles in journals of scholarship. He has testified before congressional committees on 30 occasions on issues of economic policy. His writings frequently appear on OpEdNews, Prisonplanet.com, Antiwar.com, ''VDARE.com''. LewRockwell.com, ''CounterPunch'', and the American Free Press. Roberts has been featured as a guest on the ''Political Cesspool'' radio show.
In ''Alienation and the Soviet Economy'' (1971), Roberts explained the Soviet economy as the outcome of a struggle between inordinate aspirations and a refractory reality. He argued that the Soviet economy was not centrally planned, but that its institutions, such as material supply, reflected the original Marxist aspirations to establish a non-market mode of production. In ''Marx's Theory of Exchange'' (1973), Roberts argued that Marx was an organizational theorist whose materialist conception of history ruled out good will as an effective force for change.
From 1975 to 1978, Roberts served on the congressional staff. As economic counsel to Congressman Jack Kemp he drafted the Kemp-Roth bill (which became the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981) and played a leading role in developing bipartisan support for a supply-side economic policy. His influential 1978 article for ''Harper's'', while economic counsel to Senator Orrin Hatch, had ''Wall Street Journal'' editor Robert L. Bartley give him an editorial slot, which he had until 1980. He was a senior fellow in political economy at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, then part of Georgetown University.
From early 1981 to January 1982 he served as Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy. President Ronald Reagan and Treasury Secretary Donald Regan credited him with a major role in the Economic Recovery Tax Act of 1981, and he was awarded the Treasury Department's Meritorious Service Award for "outstanding contributions to the formulation of United States economic policy." Roberts resigned in January 1982 to become the first occupant of the William E. Simon Chair for Economic Policy at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, then part of Georgetown University. He held this position until 1993. He went on to write ''The Supply-Side Revolution'' (1984), in which he explained the reformulation of macroeconomic theory and policy that he had helped to create.
He was a Distinguished Fellow at the Cato Institute from 1993 to 1996. He was a Senior Research Fellow at the Hoover Institution.
In ''The New Color Line'' (1995), Roberts argued that the Civil Rights Act was subverted by the bureaucrats who applied it and, by being used to create status-based privileges, became a threat to the Fourteenth Amendment in whose name it was passed. In ''The Tyranny of Good Intentions'' (2000), Roberts documented what he saw as the erosion of the Blackstonian legal principles that ensure that law is a shield of the innocent and not a weapon in the hands of government.
In 1992 he received the Warren Brookes Award for Excellence in Journalism from the American Legislative Exchange Council. In 1993 the Forbes Media Guide ranked him as one of the top seven journalists in the United States.
Roberts was also a critic of a potential Bush administration attack on Iran. In an August 15, 2005 article, he states "Bush...dismisses all facts and assurances and is willing to attack Iran based on nothing but Israel's paranoia."
Although his criticisms of Bush often seem to align him with the political left, Roberts continues to praise Ronald Reagan and to endorse many of Reagan's policies, arguing that "true conservatives" were the "first victims" of the neoconized Bush administration. He has said that supporters of George W. Bush "are brownshirts with the same low intelligence and morals as Hitler's enthusiastic supporters."
Roberts comments on the "scientific impossibility" of the official explanation for the events on 9/11 and says those engineers and physicists who accept this theory are wrong. On August 18, 2006, he wrote:
I will begin by stating what we know to be a solid incontrovertible scientific fact. We know that it is strictly impossible for any building, much less steel columned buildings, to “pancake” at free fall speed. Therefore, it is a non-controversial fact that the official explanation of the collapse of the WTC buildings is false... Since the damning incontrovertible fact has not been investigated, speculation and “conspiracy theories” have filled the void.
On the (back) cover of Debunking 9/11 Debunking (2007) he is quoted:
Professor Griffin is the nemesis of the 9/11 cover-up. This new book destroys the credibility of the NIST and Popular Mechanics reports and annihilates his critics.Book Cover Quote
Roberts adding that the so-called neoconservatives intended to use a renewal of the fight against terrorism to rally the American people around the fading Republican Party. "The administration figures themselves and prominent Republican propagandists ... are preparing us for another 9/11 event or series of events," he said. "You have to count on the fact that if al Qaeda is not going to do it, it is going to be orchestrated."
Shortly thereafter, however, he resumed writing articles.
Category:1939 births Category:American columnists Category:American economists Category:Georgia Institute of Technology alumni Category:Living people Category:Reagan Administration personnel Category:United States Department of the Treasury officials Category:People from Atlanta, Georgia Category:University of Virginia alumni
fr:Paul Craig Roberts ru:Робертс, Пол КрейгThis text is licensed under the Creative Commons CC-BY-SA License. This text was originally published on Wikipedia and was developed by the Wikipedia community.
Paul Craig (born 27 September 1951) is currently Professor of English Law at the University of Oxford and a Fellow of St John's College. Craig is a specialist in Administrative and EU Law.
He was educated at Worcester College, Oxford, where he took his BA, MA and BCL. He stayed at Worcester, and was made a Fellow in 1976. He remained a Fellow until his move to St John's in 1998.
He is the author of a number of legal textbooks the most well known of which (EU Law: Text, Cases and Materials) is about to be published in its 4th edition by Oxford University Press in August 2011.
He currently teaches 5 week courses in Administrative Law and European Union Law at the Indiana University School of Law-Bloomington.
Category:1951 births Category:Living people Category:Fellows of Worcester College, Oxford Category:Fellows of St John's College, Oxford Category:Alumni of Worcester College, Oxford
This text is licensed under the Creative Commons CC-BY-SA License. This text was originally published on Wikipedia and was developed by the Wikipedia community.
name | Craig Roberts |
---|---|
birth date | January 21, 1991 |
birth place | Maesycwmmer, Wales, UK |
occupation | actor }} |
Craig Roberts (born 21 January 1991) is a Welsh actor. He is best known for playing the lead role of Oliver Tate in the coming-of-age comedy-drama film Submarine.
Roberts was born in Maesycwmmer, Wales.
He has appeared in The Story of Tracy Beaker, Young Dracula, Care and Casualty.Roberts appeared in the pantomime 'Snow White' in Worthing, where he played the evil queen's sidekick 'Drax' in January 2009. In 2008 he worked with Y Touring Theatre Company where he played the part of 'Ryan' in a UK national tour of 'Full Time' which was a play that explores issues of racism, sexism and homophobia in football. He also appeared in the BBC Three television show Being Human and the online spin-off series ''Becoming Human'' as Adam.
Roberts starred in the 2010 film ''Submarine'' which also stars Paddy Considine and Yasmin Paige
! Year | ! Film | ! Role | ! Notes |
''Care'' | Craig, Pauline's Child | TV movie | |
''Little Pudding'' | TV movie | ||
Rio | TV series (2 series 2004-2006) | ||
''Kiddo'' | Jay | TV movie | |
Darren Smith/Jordan Philpot | TV series (2 episodes: 2005-2008) | ||
''Scratching'' | Mike | ''short'' | |
''Young Dracula'' | Robin Branaugh | TV series (27 episodes: 2006-2008) | |
Oliver Tate | |||
Adam | TV series (1 episode: "Adam's Family") | ||
''Becoming Human'' | Adam | TV series | |
John Reed | |||
''Red Lights'' | ''post-production'' | ||
''The First Time'' | Arthur Goldberg | ''pre-production'' | |
''Comes A Bright Day'' | Sam Smith | ''post-production'' |
Category:1991 births Category:British child actors Category:Welsh actors Category:Living people
sv:Craig Roberts
This text is licensed under the Creative Commons CC-BY-SA License. This text was originally published on Wikipedia and was developed by the Wikipedia community.
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