- published: 17 Feb 2015
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William Joseph Pecota (born February 16, 1960 in Redwood City, California), is a former professional baseball player who played infield in the Major Leagues from 1986-94. Pecota was drafted by the Royals in the 10th round of 1981 amateur draft after playing at DeAnza College in Cupertino, CA, and debuted in Kansas City in 1986. Pecota's best season came in 1991, his final year in Kansas City, as he hit .286 and played a career-high 125 games. After the 1991 season, Pecota, along with Bret Saberhagen, was traded to the New York Mets for Kevin McReynolds, Gregg Jefferies and Keith Miller. After one season in New York, Pecota signed as a free agent with the Atlanta Braves, with whom he played the final two seasons of his career. Pecota earned approximately $2.6 million dollars as a player.
Nathaniel Read "Nate" Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, psephologist, and writer. Silver first gained public recognition for developing PECOTA, a system for forecasting the performance and career development of Major League Baseball players, which he sold to and then managed for Baseball Prospectus from 2003 to 2009.
In 2007, writing under the pseudonym "Poblano," Silver began to publish analyses and predictions related to the 2008 United States presidential election. At first this work appeared on the political blog Daily Kos, but in March 2008 Silver established his own website, FiveThirtyEight.com. By summer of that year, after he revealed his identity to his readers, he began to appear as an electoral and political analyst in national print, online, and cable news media.
The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictions—he correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states—won Silver further attention and commendation. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Barack Obama by 0.9%. He also correctly predicted the winner of all 35 Senate races that year.
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