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- Published: 2010-05-14
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- Author: WorldEconomicForum
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Title | Eurozone (euro area) |
---|---|
Caption | |
Headerstyle | background:#ccf; |
Labelstyle | background:#ddf; |
Label1 | Currency |
Data1 | euro |
Label2 | Union type |
Data2 | Economic & Monetary |
Label3 | Established |
Data3 | 1.1.1999 |
Label4 | Members |
Data4 | |
Header5 | Governance |
Label6 | Political control |
Data6 | Euro Group |
Label7 | Group president |
Data7 | Jean-Claude Juncker |
Label8 | Issuing authority |
Data8 | European Central Bank |
Label9 | ECB president |
Data9 | Jean-Claude Trichet |
Label10 | Affiliated with |
Data10 | European Union |
Header11 | Statistics |
Label12 | Population |
Data12 | 328,597,348 |
Label13 | GDP (PPP) |
Data13 | €8.4 trillion |
Label16 | Unemployment |
Data16 | 10% |
Label17 | Trade balance |
Data17 | €22.3 bn surplus |
Monetary policy of the zone is the responsibility of the European Central Bank, though there is no common representation, governance or fiscal policy for the currency union. Some co-operation does however take place through the euro group, which makes political decisions regarding the eurozone and the euro.
The eurozone can also be taken informally to include third countries that have adopted the euro, for example Montenegro (see details on these countries below). Three European microstates—Monaco, San Marino and the Vatican City—have concluded agreements with the European Union permitting them to use the euro as their official currency and mint coins, but they are neither formally part of the eurozone nor represented on the board of the European Central Bank.
{| class="wikitable sortable"
|-
! class="unsortable"|
! State
! Adopted
! Population
! Nominal GDP (2009) World Bank
! class="unsortable"| Exceptions
|-
|
| Austria
|
|align="right"|
| 384,908
|
|-
|
| Belgium
|
|align="right"|
| 468,522
|
|-
|
| Cyprus
|
|align="right"|
| 24,910
|
|-
|
| Estonia
|
|align="right"|
| 19,120
|
|-
|
| Finland
|
|align="right"|
| 237,512
|
|-
|
| France
|
|align="right"|
| 2,649,390
|
|-
|
| Luxembourg
|
|align="right"|
| 52,449
|
|-
|
| Malta
|
|align="right"|
| 7,449
|
|-
|
| Netherlands
|
|align="right"|
| 792,128
|
Curaçao
Sint Maarten
|-
|
| Portugal
|
|align="right"|
| 227,676
|
|-
|
| Slovakia
|
|align="right"|
| 87,642
|
|-
|
| Slovenia
|
|align="right"|
| 48,477
|
|-
|
| Spain
|
|align="right"|
| 1,460,250
|
|-class="sortbottom"
|
|colspan=2| Eurozone
|align="right"|
| 12,475,099
|
|}
Denmark and the United Kingdom obtained special opt-outs in the original Maastricht Treaty. Both countries are legally exempt from joining the eurozone unless their governments decide otherwise, either by parliamentary vote or referendum. The current Danish government has announced plans to hold a referendum on the issue following the adoption of the Treaty of Lisbon. Sweden gained a de facto opt-out by using a legal loophole. It is required to join the eurozone as soon as it fulfills the convergence criteria, which include being part of ERM II for two years; joining ERM II is voluntary. Sweden has so far decided not to join ERM II.
The 2008 financial crisis increased interest in Denmark and initially in Poland to join the eurozone, and in Iceland to join the European Union, a pre-condition for adopting the euro. Since Latvia requested help from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), as a precondition, it may be forced to drop its currency peg. This would take Latvia out of ERM II and possibly move the euro adoption date even further from 2013 than currently planned. However, by 2010, the debt crisis in the euro zone caused interest from Poland and the Czech Republic to cool.
Some countries (i.e., Andorra, Kosovo, and Montenegro) have officially adopted the euro as their sole currency without an agreement and, therefore, have no issuing rights. Andorra is currently negotiating an agreement with the EU. These states are not considered part of the eurozone by the ECB. However, in some usage, the term eurozone is applied to all territories that have adopted the euro as their sole currency. Further unilateral adoption of the euro (euroisation), by both non-euro EU and non-EU members, is opposed by the ECB and EU.
The monetary policy of all countries in the eurozone is managed by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Eurosystem which comprises the ECB and the central banks of the EU states who have joined the euro zone. Countries outside the Eurozone are not represented in these institutions. Whereas all EU member states are part of the European System of Central Banks (ESCB). Non EU member states have no say in all three institutions, even those with monetary agreements such as Monaco. The ECB is entitled to authorise the design and printing of euro banknotes and the volume of euro coins minted, and its president is currently Jean-Claude Trichet.
The eurozone is represented politically by its finance ministers, known collectively as the Euro Group, and is presided over by a president, currently Jean-Claude Juncker. The finance ministers of the EU member states that use the euro meet a day before a meeting of the Economic and Financial Affairs Council (Ecofin) of the Council of the European Union. The Group is not an official Council formation but when the full EcoFin council votes on matters only affecting the eurozone, only Euro Group members are permitted to vote on it.
On 15 April 2008 in Brussels, Juncker suggested that the eurozone should be represented at the International Monetary Fund as a bloc, rather than each member state separately: "It is absurd for those 15 countries not to agree to have a single representation at the IMF. It makes us look absolutely ridiculous. We are regarded as buffoons on the international scene." However Finance Commissioner Joaquín Almunia stated that before there is common representation, a common political agenda should be agreed. |- ! class="unsortable" | ! Population ! GDP ! % world ! Exports ! Imports |- ! Eurozone | 317 million | €8.4 trillion | 14.6% | 21.7% GDP | 20.9% GDP |- ! EU (27) | 494 million | €11.9 trillion | 21.0% | 14.3% GDP | 15.0% GDP |- ! United States | 300 million | €11.2 trillion | 19.7% | 10.8% GDP | 16.6% GDP |- ! Japan | 128 million | €3.5 trillion | 6.3% | 16.8% GDP | 15.3% GDP |- |colspan="6"|GDP in PPP, exports/imports as goods and services excluding intra-EU trade. |}
{| style="width:75%;" |- | valign="top" |
{| class="wikitable" |- ! Date ! Deposit facility ! Main refinancing operations ! Marginal lending facility |- | 01 Jan 1999 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.50 |- | 04 Jan 1999 | 2.75 | 3.00 | 3.25 |- | 22 Jan 1999 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.50 |- | 09 Apr 1999 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 |- | 05 Nov 1999 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 |- | 04 Feb 2000 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 4.25 |- | 17 Mar 2000 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 |- | 28 Apr 2000 | 2.75 | 3.75 | 4.75 |- | 09 Jun 2000 | 3.25 | 4.25 | 5.25 |- | 28 Jun 2000 | 3.25 | 4.25 | 5.25 |- | 01 Sep 2000 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 |- | 06 Oct 2000 | 3.75 | 4.75 | 5.75 |- | 11 May 2001 | 3.50 | 4.50 | 5.50 |- | 31 Aug 2001 | 3.25 | 4.25 | 5.25 |- | 18 Sep 2001 | 2.75 | 3.75 | 4.75 |- | 09 Nov 2001 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 4.25 |- | 06 Dec 2002 | 1.75 | 2.75 | 3.75 |- | 07 Mar 2003 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 |- | 06 Jun 2003 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 |- | 06 Dec 2005 | 1.25 | 2.25 | 3.25 |- | 08 Mar 2006 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 3.50 |- | 15 Jun 2006 | 1.75 | 2.75 | 3.75 |- | 09 Aug 2006 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.00 |- | 11 Oct 2006 | 2.25 | 3.25 | 4.25 |- | 13 Dec 2006 | 2.50 | 3.50 | 4.50 |- | 14 Mar 2007 | 2.75 | 3.75 | 4.75 |- | 13 Jun 2007 | 3.00 | 4.00 | 5.00 |- | 09 Jul 2008 | 3.25 | 4.25 | 5.25 |- | 08 Oct 2008 | 2.75 | | 4.75 |- | 09 Oct 2008 | 3.25 | | 4.25 |- | 15 Oct 2008 | 3.25 | 3.75 | 4.25 |- | 12 Nov 2008 | 2.75 | 3.25 | 3.75 |- | 10 Dec 2008 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 3.00 |- | 21 Jan 2009 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 |- | 11 Mar 2009 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 |- | 08 Apr 2009 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 2.25 |- | 13 May 2009 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.75 |}
For their mutual assurance and stability of the currency, members of the eurozone have to respect the Stability and Growth Pact, which sets agreed limits on deficits and national debt, with associated sanctions for deviation. The Pact originally set a limit of 3% of GDP for the yearly deficit of all eurozone member states; with fines for any state which exceeded this amount. In 2005, Portugal, Germany, and France had all exceeded this amount, but the Council of Ministers had not voted to fine those states. Subsequently, reforms were adopted to provide more flexibility and ensure that the deficit criteria took into account the economic conditions of the member states, and additional factors.
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development downgraded its economic forecasts on 20 March 2008 for the eurozone for the first half of 2008. Europe does not have room to ease fiscal or monetary policy, the 30-nation group warned. For the euro zone, the OECD now forecasts first-quarter GDP growth of just 0.5%, with no improvement in the second quarter, which is expected to show just a 0.4% gain.
The leaders hammered out a plan to confront the financial crisis which will involve hundreds of billions of euros of new initiatives to head off a feared "meltdown". They agreed a bank rescue plan: governments would banks to boost their finances and guarantee interbank lending. Coordination against the crisis is considered vital to prevent the actions of one country harming another and exacerbating the bank solvency and credit shortage problems. In the Great Depression, so-called "beggar-thy-neighbour" measures taken unilaterally by countries are considered to have deepened the economic loss.
Despite initial fears by speculators in early 2009 that the stress of such a large recession could lead to the break up of the eurozone, the euro's position actually strengthened as the year progressed. Far from the poorer performing economies moving further away and becoming a default risk, bond yield spreads between Germany and the weakest economies decreased easing the strain on these economies. The ECB has been attributed much of the credit for the turn around in fortunes, injecting €500bn into the banks in June.
In early 2010, fears of a sovereign debt crisis developed concerning eurozone countries such as Greece, Spain, Ireland, Portugal and Italy. See also Eurozone debt crisis.
With Greece facing severe economic difficulties, the EU adopted a plan to help its recovery, including surveillance from the ECB and loans. The European Council also stated for the first time that if it came to it, the EU would bail out the country if needed. The crisis has sparked renewed discussion of fiscal integration as the lack of a federal treasury and budget being seen as a major weakness of the eurozone and there is the possibility the upcoming 10-year economic plan may lay the foundations for fiscal co-ordination. The attack by speculators on Greece was seen by some, including the Greek government, as an attack on the eurozone, using Greece as the weak-link. A 30 billion euro bailout for Greece was triggered in April 2010. from bailing out member states to fiscal union.
The plans would apply to all EU members, not just the eurozone, and have to be approved by EU leaders along with proposals for states to face sanctions before they reach the 3% limit in the Stability and Growth Pact. Poland has criticised the idea of withholding regional funding for those who break the deficit limits, as that would only impact the poorer states.
In April 2010, the bailout mechanism was triggered, with €30 billion being loaned to Greece. In May, the EU established a full fund of €750 billion to stabilise the eurozone as a whole: 440 billion from eurozone states, 60 billion from emergency European Commission funds, and 250 billion from the IMF. A special purpose vehicle (SPV) called "European Financial Stability Facility" (EFSF) with base in Luxembourg was created. The EFSF will issue debt on capital markets, backed by guarantees from the eurozone states. Money raised will be lent to indebted eurozone governments after a restructuring programme is agreed. A similar plan came from Wolfgang Schäuble, Germany's Minister of Finance, who proposed creating a European version of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) so IMF style resources and expertise could be used, while solving the problem within Europe. The plan is also backed by France, the Socialists and the Italian President who stated that "The European Central Bank [and] the European institutions are aware that there's something missing from our common tool box to tackle unforeseen and serious crises in one of the eurozone nations." The Commission is preparing a formal proposal on an EMF however some see the plan as too far fetched as there is no appetite for treaty reform after Lisbon. and are opposed by key EU member states such as France and Italy.
The proposals may result in the biggest overhaul of the eurozone since the euro's launch. With the guarantee that a member state would be bailed out, the market based system where a state must keep its own finances in check is being replaced by a state-run system with the EU bailing out countries in return for oversight over their finances. This is seen as vital as a Greek collapse would bring the rest of the EU with it; although Germany would be a big financial contributor, its industry relies on exports and its banks have investments in Greece. It requires giving up another chunk of sovereignty, funds or financial independence and would give the eurozone a stronger base of a fiscal-political union that has been another weak point in its design.
This is in contrast to an early proposal from former Belgian Prime Minister Guy Verhofstadt who saw the European Commission taking a leading role in a new economic government, something that would be opposed by the less integrationist states. Sarkozy's proposal was opposed by Eurogroup chair Jean-Claude Juncker who does not think Europe is ripe for such a large step Merkel approved of the idea of an economic government, but for the whole of the EU, not just the eurozone as doing so could split the EU and relegate non-euro states to second class members.
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