Syndicate content 

Burden sharing in the Eurozone

Dirk Schoenmaker, 18 October 2010

The financial crisis has shown that countries put national interests first. On the banking side, the handling of Fortis, Lehman and the Icelandic banks are clear examples of coordination failure. On the sovereign side, the Greek saga illustrates the damage of ad hoc attempts to coordinate. This column explores how burden sharing can be made to work in practice.

Foreign investment in southern Africa: Why so little?

Daniel Lederman, Lixin Colin Xu, 17 October 2010

Foreign direct investment has been an important component in development success stories around the world. This column explores why southern African countries have not been part of this story. Using newly available data it finds that FDI can help development and provide positive spillovers to the local economy. But Africa must have strong fundamentals to attract investment – in particular, greater openness to trade.

A “one dollar, one vote” explanation of the welfare state

Loukas Karabarbounis, 16 October 2010

Why do Europe and the US, both affluent regions, differ so much in the size of their welfare state? To answer this question, this column examines OECD countries between 1975 and 2001, finding that countries with wealthier rich- and middle-classes are associated with a smaller welfare state while those with a richer poor class are associated with a larger one – supporting the “one dollar, one vote” explanation.

Decriminalizing cannabis: the impact on crime

Imran Rasul, 15 October 2010

Imran Rasul of University College London talks to Romesh Vaitilingam about his research with Jerome Adda and Brendon McConnell on the effects of a localized policing experiment that decriminalized cannabis possession in the London borough of Lambeth between 2001 and 2002. The interview was recorded at the annual congress of the European Economic Association in Glasgow in August 2010.

The Diamond, Mortensen and Pissarides Nobel: Search and market frictions

Barbara Petrongolo, 15 October 2010

The 2010 Nobel Prize in Economics has been awarded to Peter Diamond, Dale Mortensen, and Christopher Pissarides "for their analysis of markets with search frictions". This column explains how their research relates to fundamental economic issues that are both at the core of the wellbeing of society at large and now near the top of many policymakers’ agendas.

A brief guide to hiring PhD economists

Raphael Auer, Goran Mišković, Jason Wildhagen, 15 October 2010

Whether you are in academia, government, or private business, the hiring of PhD economists is very different from standard recruiting. This column documents the peculiarities of the job market for junior economists and describes how the job market boards of walras.org and VoxEU.org can be used to disseminate information about job openings and receive online applications.

The European Commission’s proposals: Empty and useless

Francesco Giavazzi, Luigi Spaventa, 14 October 2010

The European Commission now recognises that fiscal discipline alone is not enough to ensure the stability of the euro. Yet this column argues that the new proposals to combat the Eurozone’s fragility are an empty and useless exercise – Europe’s policymakers should instead be worried about unchecked credit expansion.

Your new composite index has arrived: Please handle with care

Martin Ravallion, 14 October 2010

Policymakers and commentators are constantly looking for new ways to measure development. This column warns against embracing new composite indices with little guidance from economic or other theories. It provides a critical overview of the strengths and weaknesses of using such “mashup” indices of development.

Stronger economic governance in the EU

Marco Buti, Martin Larch, 14 October 2010

The European Commission’s proposals for stronger economic governance in the EU have aroused both broad approval and outright condemnation. In this column, the European Commission’s Director-General for Economic and Financial Affairs outlines why he and colleagues are confident that the proposals will work.

Ensuring globalisation after the global crisis

Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Kati Suominen, 13 October 2010

The global crisis has rocked people’s faith in globalisation. This column introduces a new book arguing that, despite taking a step back, globalisation is one of the most travelled routes the world has known for spreading growth and prosperity. It provides policy recommendations for renovating that road dealing with the WTO, social security, global imbalances, and foreign direct investment.

Can financial reform reduce tax evasion?

Thorsten Beck, Chen Lin, Yue Ma, 13 October 2010

Can financial sector reform help bring informal firms into the formal sector? This column examines over 22,000 firms from 43 countries. Firms in countries with a credit registry are 20% less likely to evade taxes, and the tax evasion ratio in such countries is 11% lower.

Systemic liquidity risk and bankruptcy exceptions

Enrico Perotti, 13 October 2010

How did the bank-funding system get so fragile to mletdown and lead to the worst crisis since WWII? In a new CEPR Policy Insight, Enrico Perotti argues that an important part of the answer lies in the bankruptcy privileges granted in 2005 to overnight secured credit and derivatives by the US authorities. These privileges made such lending safe for the lenders and thus cheap for the borrowers. The result was fantastic growth in this market to the detriment of stability.

Greece and the fiscal crisis in the Eurozone

The Editors, 12 October 2010

The saga of Greece’s public finances continues, and it is not the only country whose fiscal sustainability is in doubt. This column introduces a new Policy Insight by Willem Buiter and Ebrahim Rahbari that analyses the sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone and the response of the national authorities, EU institutions, and IMF.

The two rebalancing acts

Olivier Blanchard, 12 October 2010

A “strong, balanced, and sustained world recovery” as demanded by the G20 is a daunting challenge for policymakers. This column argues that two rebalancing acts are required: internal rebalancing – replacing government spending with private-sector demand, and external rebalancing – addressing the global imbalances between exporting and importing countries. These two rebalancing acts, it adds, are taking too long.

Services sector reform and the Indian manufacturing miracle

Jens Matthias Arnold, Beata Javorcik, Molly Lipscomb, Aaditya Mattoo, 12 October 2010

Conventional explanations for the post-1991 growth of India’s manufacturing sector focus on trade liberalisation and industrial de-licensing. This column examines 4,000 Indian firms from 1993 to 2005 and argues that a key factor for the success of Indian manufacturing may lie outside of manufacturing – in the services sector.

European jobs in 2040: Thinking ahead in the Netherlands

George M M Gelauff, Bas ter Weel, Albert van der Horst, 11 October 2010

How will we earn our money in 2040? This column develops four scenarios for how the Dutch economy may evolve. It argues that the future depends on the development of technology – the fundamental driver of future economic development. Many of the lessons and analysis apply equally to the rest of Europe.

Social policy in times of crisis

Megan Gerecke, Naren Prasad, 10 October 2010

Financial crises, such as that of 2008-2009, cause GDP to decline, trade to shrink, unemployment to rise, and social problems to increase. What is the link between financial crises and social security spending? This column examines the trends in social security spending in the aftermath of a financial crisis, advising that now is the time for developing countries to expand their social spending.

Currency wars: China should impose green taxes on its exports

Gérard Roland, 9 October 2010

How should China respond to the threat of tariffs from the US? This column provides a solution that could result in the desired appreciation of the renminbi and at the same time allow China to take the lead on climate change.

Childcare subsidies and child wellbeing: New evidence from the US

Chris Herbst, Erdal Tekin, 9 October 2010

Do subsidies for childcare succeed in getting parents to work and improving the wellbeing of the children? This column presents evidence from the US suggesting that childcare subsidies have an unintended consequence. In the short run, children from low-income families are worse off as their parents go off to work and they receive low-quality childcare.

Regional development policies: Place-based or people-centred?

Indermit Gill, 9 October 2010

Economic development is not evenly spread, and in some places it is still yet to arrive. This column looks at suggestions from the World Bank’s World Development Report to combat this inequality. It argues that economic growth will be unbalanced, and to try to spread it out – too much, too far, or too soon – is to discourage it. Instead, policymakers should focus on economic integration.

 

The future of EU trade policy:
A VoxEU debate

Syndicate content

Moderator: Richard Baldwin

The European Commission has just launched a public consultation on the future direction of EU trade policy. This VoxEU debate launches an online discussion of the Commission's proposals. The first column, by Lucian Cernat, DG Trade's Chief Economist, presents the key elements of the new policy.


CEPR Policy Research

Syndicate content
Policy Insights and Reports

Systemic liquidity risk and bankruptcy exceptions

Enrico Perotti

CEPR Policy Insight No.52 highlights how the 2005 bankruptcy changes created a negative externality for all intermediaries in liquidity runs, the leading cause of shock propagation in the credit crisis

Greece and the fiscal crisis in the Eurozone

Willem Buiter, Ebrahim Rahbari

CEPR Policy Insight No.51 explains how and why the fiscal crisis in the Eurozone came about and how it is likely to evolve during the rest of this decade.

Food Prices and Rural Poverty

M. Ataman Aksoy, Bernard Hoekman

The contributions in this latest book from CEPR and the World Bank review trends in international prices and trade patterns of key food commodities, and assess the incidence of food price changes in a number of developing countries using household level data on sources of incomes and consumption patterns.

Managed Exports and the Recovery of World Trade: The 7th GTA Report

Simon J Evenett

The Seventh Report of Global Trade Alert, drawing upon over 1200 investigations of state measures, reveals that while 2010 has seen a substantial recovery in world trade, governments have continued to discriminate against foreign commercial interests.

Competition and stability in banking

Xavier Vives

CEPR Policy Insight 50 models the trade-off between competition and stability in the banking sector. Competition might increase instability through two channels: by exacerbating the coordination problem of depositors/investors on the liability side and fostering panics; and by increasing incentives to take risk, and thus the raising probability of failure. Regulation can alleviate this competition-stability trade-off, but the design of optimal regulation has to take into account the intensity of competition.

A Safer World Financial System: Improving the Resolution of Systemic Institutions

Stijn Claessens, Richard J. Herring, Dirk Schoenmaker

Financial reform is finally emerging in the major economies but these reforms come up short on one crucial aspect – the resolution of systematically important, i.e., ‘too complex to fail’, cross-border financial institutions. The latest Geneva Report on the World Economy advocates a two-tier solution to this problem – a universal approach for closely integrated countries such as EU members, and a modified universal approach for other countries.

Rebalancing the Global economy: A Primer for Policymaking

Stijn Claessens, Simon J Evenett, Bernard Hoekman

This new eBook aims to provide policymakers and their advisers with up-to-date, comprehensive analyses of the central facets of global economic imbalances and to identify and evaluate potential national and systemic responses to this challenge.

Unequal Compliance: The 6th GTA report

Simon J Evenett

This Report of the Global Trade Alert, published to coincide with the Toronto G-20 Leaders' Summit in June 2010, presents a comprehensive global overview of protectionist trends since the last G-20 summit in September 2009.

Completing the Eurozone rescue: What more needs to be done?

Richard Baldwin, Daniel Gros, Luc Laeven

The euro’s crisis is not over. Measures taken in May were critical but they were palliatives not a cure. The Eurozone rescue needs to be completed. A new Vox eBook that gathers the thinking of a dozen leading economists on what more needs to be done.

Understanding the GATT’s wins and the WTO’s woes

Richard Baldwin

The WTO is said to be in a funk – unable to conclude the Doha Round even as its members liberalise unilaterally and regionally. CEPR's newest Policy Insight argues that tactics used to get consensus at the last Round pushed the organisation into decision-making’s “impossible trinity” (consensus, uniform rules, and strict enforcement). A Doha package with something for everyone may be found, thus defeating the impossible triangle. The big-package tactic, however, won’t help the WTO confront 21st century challenges in a timely manner; for that, at least one of the triangle’s corners must be modified.

Discussion Papers

Subjective Well-Being, Income, Economic Development and Growth

Daniel W Sacks, Betsey Stevenson, Justin Wolfers

Does money buy happiness? Discussion Paper 8048 examines the relationship between subjective well-being and income along three dimensions: between individuals in the same country, between other countries, and during a country's growth. In each case higher income correlates with higher reported levels of subjective well-being. Higher income, the authors conclude, does in fact make people happier with their lives.

Fiscal Policy and Labor Markets at Times of Public Debt

Giuseppe Bertola

How does accumulation of public debt affect the menu of labor market policies available to policymakers? Discussion Paper 8037 finds a strong association between debt stock and debt service indicators and employment and unemployment rates between 1980 and 2000. The author suggests that debt service obligations will have important implications for future labour market interventions.

Incentive and insurance effects of tax financed unemployment insurance

Torben M. Andersen

Springing from the debate over the Danish flexicurity system, the author of CEPR DP8025 outlines a model in which incentive effects of tax-financed unemployment benefits are balanced by direct and indirect insurance benefits. Such benefits may increase labour market flexibility by making job searches less risky for workers.

Culture, institutions and the wealth of nations

Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Gérard Roland

CEPR DP 8013 models and tests the impact on growth of a cultural variable along a dimension of individualism/collectivism. Using genetic data to instrumentalize cultural transmission, the authors find a robust effect of individualism on productivity, income, and innovation.

The effects of foreign shocks when interest rates are at zero

Martin Bodenstein, Christopher J. Erceg, Luca Guerrieri

CEPR Discussion Paper 8006 analyses how foreign demand shocks impact home economies when monetary policy is constrained by the zero lower bound. The authors find that even in relatively closed economies like the United States and the euro area, ZLB-constrained monetary policy amplifies the effects of foreign shocks.

Government Debt-Threshold Contracts

Hans Gersbach

The Eurozone crisis and debate over fiscal stimulus have emphasized the importance of responsible government debt management. CEPR DP 8001 develops a political economy model in which politicians prop up their reelection chances with debt-financed public projects but postpone the delivery of the projects until the next term. The author proposes to remedy this by instituting debt-threshold contracts which, if violated, would disqualify politicians from standing for reelection. He suggests that such contracts do not impede the stabilization of negative macroeconomic shocks.

Exchange Rate Regimes in the Modern Era: Fixed, Floating, and Flaky

Andrew K. Rose

Exchange rates may be one of a country's most important asset prices, and as such worthy of increased scholarly attention, argues Andrew Rose in CEPR Discussion Paper 7987. The paper presents a critical review of Klein and Shambaugh's new book, Exchange Rate Regimes in the Modern Era, and explores the theoretical and empirical challenges of comparing exchange rate regimes.

A New Keynesian Open Economy Model for Policy Analysis

Wendy Carlin, David Soskice

The aftermath of the global crisis has highlighted the need to reassess outdated open economy models like the Mundell-Fleming model. The authors of CEPR DP7979 simplify an unwieldy New Keynesian model to help non-specialists and policymakers analyze key challenges of macroeconomic policymaking in an open economy, including CPI inflation targeting and exchange rate overshooting.

Tax and multinational firm location decisions

Salvador Barrios, Harry Huizinga, Luc Laeven, Gaëtan Nicodème

Increased globalization and decreased trade barriers worldwide have led an increasing number of corporations to expand their activities internationally. The authors of CEPR DP7047 examine the effects of host and parent country taxation on the location decisions of these multinational corporations using a range of data from 33 European countries.

What are the real returns from a higher education?

Enrico Moretti

The increase in the return to education is typically measured using nominal wages. The author of CEPR DP6997 looks at housing costs for high school and college graduates and discovers that, when looking at real as opposed to nominal wages, the return to education and the increase in inequality may be smaller than previously thought.