Too early to judge Biden’s visit and the U.S. Suggestions regarding the formation of the Iraqi government as failure or success, but the only thing the Americans need to understand, is that history in Iraq does not significantly change its tactics and behavior. Therefore, an end to the political vacuum crisis should be an American resolution forces all political sides to form a government. Data from the performance of the Iraqi political behavior shows, the buy and sale deals occurred during Biden’s visit: The Prime Minister Maliki, a Shiite political leader .. But, a few months before the expiry of his mandate, he sold everyone including his Shiite-allies in Washington’s favor .. In exchange for the U.S. support to continue …
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Biden’s visit to Baghdad and the U.S. three power-sharing scenarios
As often, the Sadrists did not hesitate to express their rejection to the U.S. Vice President Joe Biden’s visit to Baghdad with their own style, by putting their mark on this visit with three Katyusha rockets exploded around the U.S. embassy in the Green Zone. At the same time, the Supreme Council led by Ammar Al-Hakim did not issue an official position on the scenario for the formation of the government, but the condemnation expressed by the Sadrists, either through a statement released by Muqtada Al-Sadr, in which he called, Maliki and Allawi not to bow to the U.S. Pressure, or a statements made by the leader of the Supreme Council Sadr al-Din Qabanji — close to Iran, which he noted …
Grand Ayatollah Fadlallah, the black sheep of the Hawza … Why it is important to watch Maliki’s reaction?
With the death Hizballh’s and Maliki’s Dawa Party spiritual leader Grand Ayatollah Sayyed Mohammed Hussein Fadlallah died today, it is very interesting to watch the position of the Iraqi Hawza, especially Sistani. Since Maliki wants to change the Islamic face of his Dawa Party to a secular party, at the same time he Maliki needs to the Shiite public support. Fadlallah’s moderate ideas to reform the Shiite Hawza and take it back to its original roots caused anger among other Grand Ayatollahs who decided to remove him from Al-Hawza circle and forced him to go to exile in Lebanon. In my article “What is Al-Hawza?” I wrote about Fadlallah’s problems with the Hawza. In his many writings Fadlallah says: We must emerge …
The three factors determining the formation of the Iraqi government
there are three factors that can affect the slowdown or the speed up of the formation of the coming government: The meeting between Maliki and Allawi: once again Maliki revived this tactic to break the “iron currtain” put by his INA allies to block his nomination. Since the Prime Minister knows that this alliance between the “State of Law” and INA is blessed by Iran and build in hurry through the pressure on all its components, then the best way is to pressure on the Iranian side to exercise its role in persuading the Supreme Council, and the Sadrists to lift the veto and accept him as a candidate. Unlike the last meeting between Maliki and Allawi, Al-Iraqiya showed disinterssts …
The revolution of electricity in the southern provinces topples the Minister, eyes on Maliki, while new names of candidates emerged
First– A funny-sad Q&A session with the U.S. ambassador in Chatham House, which is not covered by Reuters — A reporter asked Hill: How come that the U.S. after seven years of occupation failed to repair the basic public services in Iraq, especially water and electricity while Saddam manged to to provide these service in a very short time, after the Gulf-war? Hill’s answer was: no comments. Beside Ja’afari, Adel Abd Al-Mehdi and even Ja’afar Al-Sadr, Kuwaiti newspapers say there are new names started to emerge as settlement candidates: — Habib Al-Sadr, the former director of the Iraqi Media Network. – Ali Al-Dabbagh, Maliki’s spokesman. – Khodair Al-Khuza’i, Minister of Education. – Sherwan Al-Wa’ali, Minister of National Security. In my …
Feltman’s suggestion of sharing power rejected
The absence of an official institution to register the “newly” formed Shiite alliance between the “State of Law” and “Iraqi National Alliance”, forced Maliki to renew his negotiation with the Sadrists, in an effort to counter the Supreme Council’s movements, who is trying to hide behind the Sadrists in order to hijack the prime minister office for his candidate, Adel Abdul Mahdi. Leaked information confirmed that Jeffrey Feltman, in his visit to Baghdad tried to revive the U.S. agenda to bridge the gap between the Maliki and Iyad Allawi, on the basis of partnership. however, informed sources confirmed that the leader of Al-Iraqiya List Iyad Allawi has rejected this view, stressing on his commitment to form the government. The Supreme Council …
Allawi, Maliki and the political message of the meeting
Despite the announcement of a merge between the “State of Law” and the Iraqi National Alliance”, the scheduled meeting between Maliki, Allawi has dominated the political scene in Iraq. Both leaders have their own agendas for this meeting, the difference between the two is very clear, which makes it difficult for this meeting to achieve its goals. Maliki, aims to inform Allawi that all the attempt carried out by Al-Iraqiya to head the next government are fruitless, and the list should recognize the de-facto. But Maliki also seeks to send a message to his INA allies that the “State of Law” could play Allawi’s card, if they insist on not to choose him for Prime Minister. As for Allawi, he felt …
At the eve of the parliament’s first session .. The possible Iraqi scenarios
At a time when it was announced that the new Iraqi parliament to hold its first session next Monday, Iraqi sources predicted that the U.S. Vice President Joe Biden will arrive to Baghdad within the next two days, to discuss the U.S. Administration views of the preparation for the withdrawal of the U.S. forces from Iraq (there are also rumors say that Shiite coalitions will try to maneuver around Talabani’s decision and announce the first parliament session as “an open session for at least 40 days”). In the meantime, Iyad Allawi launched an attack on the Iraqi government for the first time using the word “Iraqi regime”, a term that now reflect the extent of the intersection with the Prime Minister …
How Allawi managed to split the Shiite coalition!
The short version is in the first paragraph, for more detailed version read below. Information available says: next week Alawi will begin his negotiations with the political coalitions on the formation of the next government after the ratification of the election results. Signs of a rift within the Iraqi National Alliance (INA), because of the Supreme Council’s new direction to form an alliance with Al-Iraqiya, which is rejected by the rest of INA coalition. A split led by Ahmad Al-Chalabi (National Congress) joined by the Sadrists and the Virtue Party (Al-Fadhila) threatened to form an alliance with the State of Law, if the Supreme Council continues its Al-Iraqiya approach (Iran promised to appoint Chalabi as deputy-Prime Minister, if he succeeded convincing …
Egypt’s media attacks Turkey’s PM Erdogan
As I said yesterday, Arab rulers started to rally beside Israel attacking Turkey. “A strike of master”, that is the headline on one of Egypt’s newspapers (image above), describing the Egyptian president Mubarak position compared to the Turkish PM Erdogan’s position. Semi-official state run Egyptian Newspaper Algomhuria attacked the Turkish position on the flotilla massacre, saying that the Turkish reaction is weak and cold compared to the Egyptian position, which was brave, rejecting the American and Israeli dictates: The Turks used the Arabic rhetoric and words, which are same used frequently by Syria to threaten Israel … Erdogan is a voice only .. and he he can not do anything or he will face the U.S. anger. While President Mubarak’s …