The Habs might hang around, but not for long.
The playoffs are finally here, and while I'm not much of a follower, after reading more than a few capsule predictions elsewhere that caused me to wince, I feel compelled to share my own predictions. As always, the following are provided for entertainment purposes only and should not be used as the basis for any actual cash wager …
East
Washington vs. Montreal: I watched all four games between these two teams in the regular season, and the overwhelming feeling I had more than once was, why in the world are the Caps having so much trouble putting this team away? There's no way Montreal can win the series, but they have the ability to win two out of three games at home in a six game series. That will most likely be Game 3 at home. The real test for the Caps will come in Game 4, where they'll have the opportunity stomp the life out of the Habs. Washington in five.
New Jersey vs. Philadelphia: This is a real trap series for New Jersey. Not in the sense that they'll lose it, but more in the sense that Daniel Carcillo or Chris Pronger may well snap, thereby putting one of the critical cogs in the Devils lineup on the injured list for 2-3 games. What else do you need to know? How about Martin Brodeur vs. Brian Boucher? New Jersey in five.
Buffalo vs. Boston: Do I really need to write that this is going to be a tight series? Boston may get Marc Savard back, but he's something of a perimeter player whose effectiveness is going to be muted during the playoffs. Otherwise, all you need to know is Miller > Rask and Ruff > Julian. Buffalo in six.
Pittsburgh vs. Ottawa: Last year, the Senators had Dany Heatley in the lineup all year and didn't make the playoffs. Before the start of the season, they were forced to trade him, and Cory Clouston still figured out a way for the team to finish fifth overall. The man knows what he's doing, and he's actually got a number of sort of grizzled vets on his roster that you like to have around this time of year. They won't win, but they'll hang around long enough to make it interesting. Pittsburgh in six.
West
San Jose vs. Colorado: Yes, I know that the Sharks have a postseason hill to climb like no other team in the league. Fortunately for them, they're facing a very young Avalanche team that overachieved early, and had just enough left in the tank to make the playoffs at the end of the season. Colorado has a bright future, but they don't have the horses to upend the Sharks this time. San Jose in five.
Chicago vs. Nashville: Congrats to Barry Trotz and David Poile for successfully replicating the 1980s model of Washington hockey success in Nashville. They play playoff hockey all year long out of financial necessity and it works. Like Ottawa, they'll hang around and leave the Blackhawks bruised up, but it won't be enough. Chicago in six.
Vancouver vs. Los Angeles: It can't help but warm your heart a little bit when you see a team that's been down so long get back into the NHL playoffs. It would be great for the game to see the Los Angeles Kings beat Vancouver in the first round this year, but I'm just not sure their young lineup is ripe enough as of yet to get it done. Like Colorado, their best years are yet to come. Just not this year against a team that boasts what may be the league's best goalie and its leader in points. Vancouver in five.
Phoenix vs. Detroit: Phoenix head coach Dave Tippett deserves a medal for the job he's done in Phoenix this year. Unfortunately, they don't give medals in the NHL, so the Jack Adams Trophy will have to do. His reward: facing a team that dug itself out of a trough early, one that's led by the man who is generally regarded as the league's best head coach year-over-year, no matter which bench he might be running. Some reward. One last thought: Wayne Gretzky must be more than a little bitter right now. Detroit in six.
So who wins it all? Before the past two playoffs, I was reluctant to pick a Caps team that I believed was still too young and inexperienced to win the Cup. That time is over. And while I'll always be the sort of person who waits for the other shoe to drop, I have no reason to believe that this won't be the year.
UPDATE: I just got a note from the folks at Bookmaker.com, and they provided me with the current line on winning the Stanley Cup. At this point, the Caps are favorites. Click here for the line on the Cup and the Conference winners:
BOSTON BRUINS +4000 (2%)
BUFFALO SABRES +785 (11%)
CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS +385 (21%)
COLORADO AVALANCHE +5000 (2%)
DETROIT RED WINGS +950 (10%)
LOS ANGELES KINGS +2500 (4%)
MONTRÉAL CANADIENS +4600 (2%)
NASHVILLE PREDATORS +3600 (3%)
NEW JERSEY DEVILS +655 (13%)
OTTAWA SENATORS +3200 (3%)
PHILADELPHIA FLYERS +2200 (4%)
PHOENIX COYOTES +1300 (7%)
PITTSBURGH PENGUINS +725 (12%)
SAN JOSE SHARKS +390 (21%)
VANCOUVER CANUCKS +950 (10%)
WASHINGTON CAPITALS +275 (27%)
[The +/- Indicates the Return on the Wager. The percentage is the likelihood that response will occur. For Example: Betting on the candidate least likely to win would earn the most amount of money, should that happen.]