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2008 Research

Pay-TV and Video-on-Demand Potential in India
Online Gaming in Asia: Strong Potential for Growth
Motherboard and PC CEMs in China and Taiwan
Non-PC Network-Enabled Stationary Multimedia Devices in Asia/Pacific
Vietnamese Electronics Manufacturing and Semiconductor Trends
India Consumer Electronics Gaining Momentum
India Design Services—Moving Ahead and Building Strengths

2007 Research

Semiconductor Manufacturing Capacity Trends in Asia
Online Entertainment in Asia/Pacific: Rising From the East
Portable Music and Multimedia Player Market in Japan
Home Automation Trends in Asia
Next-Generation DVD Players and Recorders Worldwide
Semiconductor Assembly & Testing Market Trends in Asia
IPTV in Asia: Carriers Start the Battle
EMS/ODM Market Trends in Asia
WiBro in Korea: Ambitious Launch - Turbulent Take Off
Asia/Pacific Broadband Market Update: DSL Still Takes the Lead
WiMAX in Asia/Pacific: A Well Laid Foundation for Prominent Future Growth
HDTV Content Development in Asia: The Achievable Dream

  • Links to More Research: 2007

 
2008 Research

Pay-TV and Video-on-Demand Potential in India

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Product Number: IN0804090MBS
Publication Date: May 2008
Number of Pages: 24
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $2,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The cable industry has dominated the pay-TV market since the early nineties but is now facing competition from DTH and IPTV. DTH seems to be growing strong in India and is likely to capture 24.6% of the total pay-TV subscriber base by 2012, while 11.1% of subscribers will be covered by cable-CAS. Overall growth of cable subscribers, including cable-CAS and cable-non CAS, during the forecasted period is slated to be a mere 0.51% CAGR. The growth of IPTV is likely to remain slow during the forecasted period, owing to lower broadband penetration in the country.
 
 This report delves into the total pay-TV subscriber base by different technologies, i.e., cable, DTH, and IPTV. It also highlights the drivers and challenges for these technologies, the current state of broadband in India, and the potential for video-on-demand in India.

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Online Gaming in Asia: Strong Potential for Growth

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Product Number: IN0804025CM
Publication Date: May 2008
Number of Pages: 32
Analyst: Stephanie Ethier
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Revenue for the online gaming market in the Asia/Pacific region is expected to grow rapidly between 2008 and 2013 as consumer awareness increases and new technologies allow for greater content and variety of games. Total revenue for the Asia/Pacific region stood at US$5.8 billion in 2007 and is expected to reach US$21.1 billion in 2013, a CAGR of 20.6%.
 
 The major factors driving this growth include growing household Internet penetration, increased content development for online-specific games, wider access mediums to accelerate demand, and the unique experience that online gaming offers. Online games are no longer restricted to slow-action strategy games. Faster connections are allowing the popular Massive Multiplayer Online Role-Playing Games (MMORPGs) to be developed and enter the mainstream. In turn, this is rapidly increasing consumer acceptance of the Internet as an entertainment medium.
 
 It is also worth mentioning that China is the fastest-growing market for online gaming and is expected to become the largest market in Asia in 2009. At present, more than 50% of the online games played in China are locally developed, and some are being exported overseas.
 
 This report answers the following questions:
 -What is the likely size of the online gaming market in the future?
 -How are prices adjusting to changing demand?
 -Who are the leading suppliers in the market?
 -How are regional markets being affected?
 -What are the expectations for future growth?

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Motherboard and PC CEMs in China and Taiwan

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Product Number: IN0804111SI
Publication Date: April 2008
Number of Pages: 27
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Taiwanese manufacturers have completely dominated the global desktop motherboard and PC CEM space. In 2007, Taiwanese motherboard makers shipped 98.5% of the worldwide desktop motherboard shipments. However, the industry is faced with a slow growth rate owing to the trend of replacing desktop PCs with notebooks and aggressive pricing by notebook PC makers.
 
 Notebook PCs will remain the growth engine for PC CEMs. Notebook PC shipments by Taiwanese makers are likely to grow at a CAGR of 18.7% during 2007–2012.
 
 This report delves into the desktop motherboard shipments and desktop and notebook PC shipments by Taiwanese manufacturers. It explores the emerging trends in the PC and motherboard industry. The report also explores the competitive landscape in the PC and motherboard industry, the production locations being chosen by Taiwanese firms, and the Chinese share of the market.

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Non-PC Network-Enabled Stationary Multimedia Devices in Asia/Pacific

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Product Number: IN0804268RC
Publication Date: February 2008
Number of Pages: 20
Analyst: Joyce Putscher
Price: $2,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 In the Asia/Pacific region, PC-literate homes and broadband subscribers represent a large market potential for home networking and various networked multimedia devices. However, consumer awareness is lacking when it comes to non-PC devices that can help them consume their digital content in entertainment-centered areas of their home.
 
 The majority of Asia/Pacific home network users still only use their network for Internet sharing. In Asia/Pacific, knowledge of networked CE devices has increased, though mostly among higher-end consumers. Network-enabled consumer CE devices will create equipment opportunities over the next five years.
 
 Improvement is still needed when it comes to consumer awareness of the new breed of networked multimedia devices, from Media Center-enabled PCs, to CE-based media servers, digital media adapters, digital media receivers/players, and other devices. We believe that the desire to consume digital content from PCs with a variety of CE devices will increase; however, consumer awareness, product availability, and product pricing will have a major effect on the uptake of network-capable media devices. Over the forecast period, we expect the domination of non-PC network-enabled stationary media devices to slowly move from game consoles to digital TVs. The Asia/Pacific non-PC network-enabled stationary media device shipments are expected to grow by a 26% CAGR from 2006 to 2011.

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Vietnamese Electronics Manufacturing and Semiconductor Trends

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Product Number: IN0804273ARR
Publication Date: January 2008
Number of Pages: 22
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Vietnam’s low-cost advantage coupled with favorable government policies has caught the attention of leading electronics manufacturing players. The country is witnessing increased activities in this space and Vietnam’s semiconductor consumption is on the rise. The country is experiencing increased demand of consumer electronics and IT products. This report examines the drivers and barriers for growth in Vietnam’s electronics manufacturing and semiconductor industry.
 
 This report gives a five-year forecast for the EMS/ODM revenues. It also delves into OEM manufacturing in the country and gives a breakdown of OEM manufacturing by application area. In addition, the report gives a five-year forecast of semiconductor consumption in the country across application areas.
 
 This comprehensive look at Vietnam’s electronics manufacturing and semiconductor trends also includes some macroeconomic indicators such as GDP growth, FDI inflow, and wage rate.

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India Consumer Electronics Gaining Momentum

 Information
Product Number: IN0804271ARR
Publication Date: January 2008
Number of Pages: 36
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The report is based on a recent survey conducted by In-Stat, which included 1,007 respondents in seven cities. These respondents were used to gauge the current ownership of various Consumer Electronics (CE) goods and also to understand future purchases.
 
 The report helps to evaluate the market potential of various CE goods, giving insight on the timing of purchases and the budget customers have in mind for each of these products. It also provides insight on customers’ preferences in purchasing these items.
 
 Desktop PCs will continue to be the growth engine of CE products in India, followed by others like digital cameras, DVD/VCD/DVR, and MP3s. Easily available financing can result in faster purchases, high-end purchases, or more purchases among Indians.
 
 As the prices of CE goods fall and they become more affordable, the market will experience significant growth.

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India Design Services—Moving Ahead and Building Strengths

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Product Number: IN0804270ARR
Publication Date: January 2008
Number of Pages: 28
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The Indian design services industry will maintain an impressive growth rate of 20.2% during the 2007–2012 timeframe, and will reach US$3.4 billion by 2012. The captive centers of the IDMS in India currently work on cutting edge technologies and the latest process nodes. However, the industry is facing a lot of challenges, like increasing salaries and lack of analog/mixed signal expertise in the country. The companies are building strengths to overcome these challenges and explore new opportunities.
 
 This report gives a five-year forecast for design services revenue by captive center and Indian design houses. It also provides the revenue for application areas. The report highlights the number of design starts in India and also the percentage of design work across different process nodes.
 
 It also provides the revenue for associated embedded software and board designs. In addition, it gives the number of design engineers employed in the design services industry.

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2007 Research

Semiconductor Manufacturing Capacity Trends in Asia

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Product Number: IN0703663ASM
Publication Date: November 2007
Number of Pages: 39
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The semiconductor manufacturing capacity in Asia has been rising with major contributions from the pure-play foundries and makers of memory. The increasing interest by the IDMs in the fab-lite model will continue to drive this growth. The region is also attracting investments from European and US IDMs.
 
 This report provides the semiconductor manufacturing capacity of Asia as a whole and of individual countries with a five-year forecast. It also provides an overview of 300mm capacity in the region. In addition, it highlights the details such as capacity, process technologies, and wafer size for all the leading fabs in the region.

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Online Entertainment in Asia/Pacific: Rising From the East

 Information
Product Number: IN0703701ACM
Publication Date: November 2007
Number of Pages: 37
Analyst: Allyn Hall
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 With the broadband subscription rates in the Asia/Pacific region rising close to In-Stat’s expectations for 2005 and 2006, it is expected that the higher purchasing power and growing awareness of online entertainment offerings will drive the online entertainment industry in the region. In this report, In-Stat analyzes the three major industries under online entertainment: online music, online video, and online gaming. The rampant piracy in the region, lawsuits against major aggregators like Baidu.com and Yahoo! Music in China, evolution of digital rights management, innovations of software developers, and emerging technologies and business models all will contribute to dramatic changes in the Asia/Pacific online entertainment markets during the forecast period. This In-Depth Analysis provides customers with the research necessary to succeed in the challenging markets within the Asia/Pacific region, as we are about to witness the rise of Asia/Pacific as the global leader in the online entertainment industry.

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Portable Music and Multimedia Player Market in Japan

 Information
Product Number: IN0703500ACM
Publication Date: November 2007
Number of Pages: 40
Analyst: Alice Zhang
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 Japan portable MP3 player, portable multimedia player (PMP), and portable DVD player (PDP) retail volume is expected to be strong over the next five years. The Japanese retail volume for both flash-based and HDD-based PMP/MP3 players and personal DVD players hit 639,900 units in 2006, up 21% from 2005. When the major manufacturers switched their focus from MiniDisc (MD) players to compatible players, the Japan PMP market became more diversified. In addition, Japanese PMP manufacturers, such as Sony and Toshiba, are more focused on HDD players. PMP/MP3/PDP player market retail volume is expected to reach 759,700 units by the end of 2007, and to reach 1.49 million units by 2011.
 
 In-Stat believes that music-playing cellphones could only encroach upon the sales of low-end portable MP3 player sales. Products such as the iPhone and the Japanese product Sophia will impact PMP sales growth in Japan in the coming five years, once the price for the Sophia and the iPhone fall to more affordable ranges. In fact, recent primary research from In-Stat shows that 27.1% of total respondents would like to use a multimedia mobile phone as the substitute for a multimedia player, insinuating that multimedia phones could pose an increasingly serious threat to all sectors of the PMP player market.

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Home Automation Trends in Asia

 Information
Product Number: IN0703812ACM
Publication Date: September 2007
Number of Pages: 50
Analyst: Alice Zhang
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The Asia/Pacific home automation services market is expected to grow quickly in 2008 and 2009; however, the market development within the region is uneven. Japan and South Korea are expected to continue to take the leading positions in the region in terms of the technology. Australia and New Zealand have high development potential, providing that most single-family homes require a higher level of home security. China, Taiwan, Thailand, Hong Kong, and Singapore are potential markets with the need for more customer education. India and Malaysia will contribute to the regional home automation services emergence in two to three years, while Indonesia and the Philippines will not contribute significantly to development in the short-term, due to their weak infrastructures.
 
 Included is related information from the Residential Technology Survey (RTS) which was conducted in 2Q07. The data for this report were obtained via web-based questionnaires, and the respondents were members of global online consumer panels in countries that are considered "e-ready." Over 800 responses were obtained from Korea and Japan. The results indicated that Koreans had the highest ownership rate among all the markets for home automation systems.

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Next-Generation DVD Players and Recorders Worldwide

 Information
Product Number: IN0703626ACM
Publication Date: August 2007
Number of Pages: 69
Analyst: Alice Zhang
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 DVD player shipments have started to decline, while DVD recorder shipments are growing, globally. The DVD player market benefits from versatility in form factors. DVD players can be seen in portable renditions, integrated with VCRs, or in the back seats of SUVs. While DVD recorders have come down in price, there is still a fairly large difference in the pricing of DVD players and DVD recorders; therefore, each represents a different value proposition.
 
 DVD recorders are evolving into media server devices. In 2006, Ethernet and USB ports became more and more common. Added connectivity means that consumers can aggregate digital pictures, download MP3 files, or transfer old VHS tapes onto DVD discs.
 
 This report reviews in detail the technical and market barriers confronting next-generation DVD players. Currently, there is no clear-cut winner in the HD-DVD vs. Blu-ray format war. The outcome of this battle will not only depend on the IC manufacturers and the consumer electronics producers, but also on the attitude of content providers, government support, and digital broadcasting situations in each region. However, In-Stat believes that the universal combo player, which plays both HD-DVD and Blu-ray discs, will not be a sustainable solution unless prices decline, as it currently costs more than purchasing two players separately.

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Semiconductor Assembly & Testing Market Trends in Asia

 Information
Product Number: IN0703539ASM
Publication Date: July 2007
Number of Pages: 37
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The semiconductor assembly and test market continues its shift to Asia. The outsourcing of assembly and test to subcontractors has been increasing consistently. The outsourced SAT market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 10.3%, which is higher than the global semiconductor growth rates. The IDMs do not find it cost effective to operate the packaging operation during the downturns. Also, the capital expenditure required for advanced packaging is prohibitive.
 
 This report highlights the assembly and test capacity for different countries in the Asia region including their OSAT revenues. It provides a breakdown of the OSAT revenues by different application areas and package types with a five-year forecast.

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IPTV in Asia: Carriers Start the Battle

 Information
Product Number: IN0703571ACM
Publication Date: May 2007
Number of Pages: 62
Analyst: Alice Zhang
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 With a warm up period over the past few years, Asia/Pacific IPTV subscriber numbers have increased quickly. There were 2.7 million subscribers by the end of 2006, an 87.4% growth rate from 2005.
 
 The Asia/Pacific IPTV market's development has remained diversified. Mature markets include Japan and Hong Kong, with approximately 60% of the total subscribers in 2006. They are expected to continuously take the lead in the regional IPTV development process.
 
 Together with the fast expanding broadband infrastructure and decreases in service price, an expanding middle class is transforming China into the future IPTV dragon. Taiwan and Singapore have a relatively higher penetration of broadband and are pioneers in technology adoptions. For South Korea, the government regulatory issues are expected to be solved soon.
 Australia and New Zealand are lagging behind other developed markets, with conservative attitudes from major telecom operators and low general public interest. Other markets like India, Malaysia, and Thailand, together with China, are fueling the growth of the Asia/Pacific IPTV market. Indonesia and the Philippines are expected to provide little uptake due to their weak infrastructures. It is expected that by 2009, IPTV will be present in all of the markets in the region.
 
 Finally, it is worth mentioning that IP-based HDTV is on its way to the Asia/Pacific, with both Hong Kong PCCW and Singapore Singtel expected to start offering IP-based HDTV in 2007.

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EMS/ODM Market Trends in Asia

 Information
Product Number: IN0703487ASM
Publication Date: May 2007
Number of Pages: 35
Analyst: Mayank Jain
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The CEM market in Asia is set to grow at a CAGR of 18.4%. Asia will be contributing to nearly 66% of the global CEM market by 2011. The OEMs are forcing the CEM players in the emerging Asian countries so they can leverage the proximity to end-customers. China will maintain its dominance as the main vein in the EMS/ODM market. Other emerging nations like India, Thailand, and Vietnam are exhibiting good potential but with some issues.
 
 This report gives the five-year forecast for the global, as well as Asian, EMS/ODM market. It also gives a break-down of CEM revenue for the leading Asian countries and analyzes the drivers and inhibitors of the market. The report clearly compares the global and Asian EMS/ODM markets and gives the CEM revenues across application areas.

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WiBro in Korea: Ambitious Launch - Turbulent Take Off

 Information
Product Number: IN0703568ANT
Publication Date: May 2007
Number of Pages: 18
Analyst: Victor Liu
Price: $2,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 In 2006 South Korea became the first country to launch Mobile WiMAX/WiBro services. Operators were once ambitious about subscriber growth, but soon disappointed by the reality. The limited network coverage and available user devices significantly impacted the subscriber growth. By the end of 2006, the total users were just above 1,000.
 
 In an effort to increase subscribers, KT is pushing device makers to come out with a wider selection of WiBro phones, USB dongles, and computers. It is also trying to provide various content services. SK Telecom, on the other hand, has decided to wait for KT to drive the market development before committing substantial recourses on WiBro. Meanwhile, South Korea WiBro vendors and operators are trying to reach out to the vast international market. In-Stat believes that as wireless broadband is on the rising edge globally, South Korean players surely have the chance to make the gains!
 

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Asia/Pacific Broadband Market Update: DSL Still Takes the Lead

 Information
Product Number: IN0703499ACM
Publication Date: April 2007
Number of Pages: 40
Analyst: Bryan Wang
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The year 2006 saw the Asia/Pacific broadband access services market continue to grow at a rate close to In-Stat’s 2005 forecast. Broadband subscribers reached 109.0 million in the 13 major markets in the region, a 25.9% increase from 2005. The total market is envisaged to reach 231.3 million subscribers by 2011.
 DSL still remains the leading technology for broadband access, while the Asia/Pacific region proved to stand in the forefront of the FTTx evolution worldwide. FTTx in Japan and South Korea reported over 10 million subscribers in 2006, posing a strong DSL replacing trend. In China and India, the market continued an impressive growth in 2006 and constitutes the bulk of new subscribers.
 In the forecast period, In-Stat expects the Asia/Pacific regional markets to witness continuing transition from existing narrowband subscribers to broadband, especially in broadband laggard markets. The changing paradigm attributes to the growing demand for broadband applications. When the subscribers get used to media-rich content, they will migrate from a narrowband connection.

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WiMAX in Asia/Pacific: A Well Laid Foundation for Prominent Future Growth

 Information
Product Number: IN0703502ANT
Publication Date: March 2007
Number of Pages: 64
Analyst: Victor Liu
Price: $3,495 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 The year 2006 was a remarkable one for WiMAX. In the Asia/Pacific region, the South Korea version of mobile WiMAX—WiBro services—was commercialized in June. Although the subscriber growth was below expectation due to limited network coverage and lack of user devices, operators are working hard to grow their businesses after the initial difficulties. In other parts of the region, especially in emerging countries where the current household broadband penetration rates were extremely low, governments quickly built a pro-WiMAX regulatory framework. Operators also gained much confidence from the Sprint-Nextel decision to adopt WiMAX for their 4G network, and were actively conducting trials in hopes that WiMAX would lead to a lucrative wireless broadband business. In general, a solid foundation was laid by the joint efforts of market regulators, operators, and eager equipment vendors: prominent growth of the WiMAX market is highly possible in the Asia/Pacific region.
 Measuring the market growth potential in numbers, from a lean base of 0.27 million WiMAX and Pre-WiMAX subscribers in 2006, total WiMAX subscribers in 16 Asia/Pacific countries are expected to reach 31.43 million by 2012. Another 7.63 million users are expected to adopt the WiMAX-backhauled Wi-Fi network by 2012. The sum of subscription revenue collected by operators for both services will increase from US$438.9 million in 2006 to US$5092.0 million in 2012.

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HDTV Content Development in Asia: The Achievable Dream

 Information
Product Number: IN0703738ACM
Publication Date: March 2007
Number of Pages: 60
Analyst: Alice Zhang
Price: $2,995 U.S. Dollars
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Summary
 With superior video and audio quality when compared to standard definition TV broadcasting, HDTV content is being marketed as premium content that has the potential to boost incremental monthly revenues for cable and satellite operators, as well as provide terrestrial TV broadcasters with a new weapon in the fight against pay-TV services in Asia/Pacific. Over 9.9 million TV households in five Asia/Pacific countries—Australia, China, Japan, South Korea, and Singapore—received and watched HDTV programming by the end of 2006.
 HDTV content availability remains limited in the region, but has great potential in the coming five years.
 In-depth analysis about the content production process, the technology readiness, and the development status for each of the markets is covered in the report, with forecasts about the HDTV set shipment and average sales price, service subscribers, numbers of hours broadcasted, and subscription revenues. In-Stat forecasts that the total consumer revenue from HDTV content being broadcasted in Asia/Pacific will reach US$8.06 billon by 2012, with a CAGR of 16.7% from 2006 to 2012.

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